Chainlink (LINK) Forms Signal That Last Led To 123% Rally

On-chain data shows Chainlink has just seen a level of decline in its exchange reserve that last led to a massive rally for the cryptocurrency.

According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, Chainlink has observed significant outflows from exchanges recently. The indicator of interest here is “Supply on Exchanges,” which, as its name suggests, keeps track of the percentage of the total circulating LINK supply that’s currently sitting in the wallets of all centralized exchanges.

When the value of this metric rises, it means these platforms are receiving a net amount of deposits right now. As one of the main reasons why investors may transfer to exchanges is for selling-related purposes, such a trend can have bearish implications for the asset.

On the other hand, the indicator registering a decline implies a net outflow of coins is occurring from the exchanges. Holders generally withdraw their coins to self-custody when they plan to hold into the long term, so this kind of trend can be bullish for the cryptocurrency’s price.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Chainlink Supply on Exchanges over the past year or so:

As displayed in the above graph, the Chainlink Supply on Exchanges has witnessed a sharp drawdown recently. More specifically, investors have withdrawn around 1.6% of the asset’s entire supply in circulation over the past month.

This is a very notable decrease and suggests there is some strong demand from the whales for accumulation. The last time the metric saw a significant drop was in the early part of the year. This last decrease of 1.1% led to a LINK price rally of around 10%.

In December, a similar trend was observed, with withdrawals equivalent to 0.7% of the supply resulting in a 26% jump in the coin. Both of these instances, though, saw outflows of a smaller degree than what LINK has seen recently.

From the chart, it’s visible that the last time a similar percentage of supply exited these platforms was between 15th of September and 14th of October. What followed this withdrawal spree was a massive 123% surge in the Chainlink price over the next four weeks.

As a similar decline has occurred again in the indicator with the exchange supply dropping from 23% to 21.4%, it’s possible that LINK could end up seeing a bullish effect this time as well.

It only remains to be seen, though, if any resulting rally would be of a similar scale as that other instance, or if only a small increase will happen, like after the last two outflow streaks.

At the time of writing, Chainlink is trading around $13.9, down more than 2% over the past 24 hours.