Solana price fractal targets rally to $260, but one thing must happen first — Analysts

Key takeaways:

• Solana’s bull flag pattern projects a rally to $260, but low spot buy volumes have analysts advising caution.

After briefly dropping to $160 from $184, Solana (SOL) is attempting to reclaim a position above its key resistance at $180 for a second consecutive week. With Bitcoin (BTC) hitting an all-time high, market speculators are banking on eventual capital rotation, which could pump major altcoins like SOL toward new highs.

Solana shows promising signs on the daily chart, forming a textbook bull flag pattern after a strong uptrend. While SOL prices currently trade under $180, a breakout above this level could propel SOL toward its first target at $200, with further upside potential to $220 if momentum sustains.

The trend remains bullish, supported by the relative strength index (RSI) at 64.30, indicating healthy momentum without overbought conditions. However, SOL needs a clear market structure break (MSB) or a decisive bullish breakout above $180 to trigger the next leg of the rally. 

Declining volumes during the consolidation phase suggest caution, as a lack of buying pressure could stall the breakout. 

If SOL fails to breach $180, the immediate key area of interest is between $140-150, and the bull flag pattern would be invalidated. The support range is a daily order block, which should provide higher time frame (HTF) support in case of a price correction. 

Related: Bitcoin could go much higher due to lack of FOMO and futures market euphoria — Analysts

Crypto trader Robert Mercer shared a chart identifying a price fractal pattern similar to October 2024. Mercer emphasized two critical zones: one around late 2024, where SOL broke past $180 after consolidation, and a current zone mirroring that setup. He predicts a breakout above $180 could trigger a sharp upward rally, mirroring the late 2024 rally that saw $SOL peak near $260.

Likewise, technical analyst Javon Marks identified a hidden bullish divergence on Solana's 3-day chart, a pattern that previously triggered a 1,332% surge in 2024. Marks suggested that if this pattern breaks out again in 2025, Solana could reach a price target of $450.

Popular crypto trader XO also remained on the lookout for a long opportunity, but suggested waiting to see if Solana could flip the $180 level into support.

Related: BTC price eyes $112K as risk assets 'ignore bad news' on unemployment

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.