XRP Price Prediction: Can Ripple Extend Its Biggest Rally Since 2020?

XRP price trades at $1.18 as of this writing, up 18% on the day in a follow-through move that’s keeping the “biggest rally prediction since 2020” narrative alive. But there’s a catch most headlines are skipping over, and it involves where the smart money actually went.

The token jumped 10% on August 19, beating Bitcoin’s 7% gain and finishing third among the eight largest coins during a record-wide short squeeze. Based on XRP’s 180-day correlation with Bitcoin, the move should have produced 6.57% upside, but it delivered 3.83 points more than that. It is a real outperformance, not just a beta ride.

Ripple is about to flip the switch!

HODL $XRP!! pic.twitter.com/Y4rY8qfBov

However, spot ETF flows tell a different story: Bitcoin funds pulled in $517 million that day, nearly triple the prior pace, while XRP’s institutional pipes stayed comparatively quiet.

This gap in retail momentum without matching institutional confirmation sets up the next question. Can the chart hold what the squeeze built?

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At $1.18 and rising nearly 20% in 24 hours, XRP sits just above the $1.10–$1.12 resistance band that’s capped multiple rallies since early August, per recent technical coverage. Volume above $3–4 billion daily suggests the move has real participation behind it, not thin-book noise.

The 200-day moving average near $1.28 is the next real test, and clearing it decisively would open room toward the $1.29–$1.45 zone analysts have flagged as the next demand shelf.

In a good scenario, a confirmed break above $1.20 extends the squeeze toward $1.30–$1.45. A consolidation between $1.00 and $1.20 continues while ETF flows catch up.

However, a rejection at resistance sends price back toward the $1.00 floor that’s held all year, and a break below that invalidates the entire rally thesis. This is worth watching before chasing this candle.

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XRP bulls have earned some validation here; an 18% daily pop and a rare win against Bitcoin is nothing to dismiss. But at a $68 billion-plus market cap, XRP’s percentage upside from here is mathematically constrained even in a strong breakout scenario.

That’s the trade-off of buying an asset this size: the squeeze gets headlines, the multiples don’t move like they used to. Capital chasing outsized returns is increasingly rotating toward earlier-stage infrastructure plays instead, and Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is drawing that attention as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with native SVM integration.

The presale has raised $33 million at a current token price of $0.0136849, with staking rewards available at launch with a huge 35% APY reward. The pitch: Solana-speed execution secured by Bitcoin’s base layer, via a decentralized canonical bridge, is solving the slow, expensive, non-programmable problems that have limited BTC’s utility for years.

Research Bitcoin Hyper before deciding whether that risk fits the portfolio.

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