XRP Price Prediction: On-Chain Signals Flash Green – Surge to $3+ Now Locked In 

On-chain metrics point to healthy demand, not a blow-off top, with easing volatility creating a more sustainable environment for long-term bullishness on XRP price predictions.

Since hitting a local top in mid-May, the altcoin appears to be hitting its stride again with a 20% gain over the past 16 days in a firm mid-term uptrend—now metrics point long-term.

With Trump’s tariff letters reopening trade negotiations ahead of the extended August 1 “Liberation Day” tariff pause deadline, the macro narrative sets a precedent for cautious optimism.

BREAKING: President Trump sends out more “tariff letters” with the following tariff rates announced today:

1. Cambodia: 36%
2. Thailand: 36%
3. Bangladesh: 35%
4. Serbia: 35%
5. Indonesia: 32%
6. Bosnia: 30%
7. Tunisia: 25%
8. Japan: 25%
9. South Korea: 25%

These tariffs are…

Still, with growing expectations of 0.25%–1% rate cuts starting as early as July, macro FUD could give way to risk-on sentiment.

Despite explosive gains so far this cycle, Glassnode data suggests XRP has yet to reach a local top with market participants not yet in profit-taking territory, keeping the door open for further upside.

The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Z-Score, a key valuation metric, peaked near 6.5 during XRP’s early 2025 run to $3.

Today, it hovers around 2.0—well below the 3.0 threshold that typically signals overvaluation and the previous overextended levels that created high volatility.

A low score means the asset isn’t overextended relative to historical investor entry points, suggesting accumulation and HODLing rather than short-term speculation or weak hands.

This is reinforced by the HODL Wave chart, which shows over 40% of the circulating supply hasn’t moved in more than a year, underscoring strong holder conviction for further gains.

Long-term cohort bands also remain stable despite recent volatility and macro FUD, creating a solid foundation for growth with resilient underlying support.

The XRP price could be gearing up for its next leg higher as it teeters on a breakout from a symmetrical triangle that has capped its upside since late February.

Momentum indicators align with the long-term bullish on-chain metrics. The RSI has reclaimed the neutral line at 52, signaling renewed buyer strength and a return to bullish territory.

More so, the MACD has formed a golden cross, surpassing the single line for the first time since May. On the 3-day chart, this suggests a potential mid-term uptrend is taking shape.

XRP has already surpassed the immediate resistance to a breakout at the 0.618 Fibonnaci level at $2.267.

The next hurdle sits at $2.44, which will determine whether this is a true breakout or a false move.

Should the bullish case play out, the pattern sets up a likely technical target at the 2.618 Fibonacci extension around $4.365—representing a 90% gain from current levels.

For this breakout to fully materialize, a market-warming catalyst such as the October 17 U.S. spot XRP ETF decision could prove decisive, opening the door to fresh TradFi inflows.

Those who jumped to altcoins like XRP over the leading crypto may be forced to reconsider as the Bitcoin ecosystem finally addresses its biggest limitation: scalability.

Slow transactions, high fees, and limited programmability have held it back from competing with the Ethereum and Solana networks – until now.

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