Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Surge To $120,000 And Then A 50% Crash To $60,000, Here’s When

The Bitcoin price is once again at the center of attention as it continues its upward climb in what appears to be the final phase of the current bull cycle. Riding on the back of macroeconomic optimism and institutional interest, Bitcoin is showing renewed strength, with technical analysis forecasting a final pump to a new ATH above $120,000. Once the flagship cryptocurrency completes this move, its price is forecasted to crash down to $60,000, signaling the onset of the bear market. 

Xanrox, a crypto analyst, has shared a new Bitcoin price prediction on TradingView, forecasting a bullish run to a new all-time high and a subsequent crash to major lows. Expanding on his optimistic projection, the crypto analyst has confirmed that Bitcoin is in the final stages of this bullish cycle, meaning that the cryptocurrency is gearing up for its most explosive price surge yet.

The analyst shared an Elliott Wave technical chart, indicating that Bitcoin is currently in Wave 3 of a five-wave pattern forming an ending diagonal. This structure typically marks the final stage of a bullish cycle, just before a major correction. 

Xanrox predicts that Bitcoin will eventually enter two final wave stages (Wave 4 and 5) before reaching a cycle peak. According to his analysis, the ideal range for this bull run lies between $120,000 and $125,000. More precisely, he highlights a Fibonacci Extension target of 1.618 at $122,069 as the potential top of this bull cycle. 

The TradingView analyst also notes that this Fibonacci target is the best price to sell and prepare for the bear market that’s projected to follow. Notably, this price level aligns with a long-term trend line that stretches from Bitcoin’s 2017 peak to the 2021 top and the next forecasted 2025 ATH. 

Strengthening the analyst’s conviction of a potential rally to $122,069, Bitcoin’s historical price behavior reveals a consistent relationship with the 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA). The analysis highlights that the cryptocurrency has repeatedly bounced off or corrected to this moving average during key turning points in past cycles. This pattern adds further credibility to the bullish outlook. 

Despite Xanrox’s optimistic price projection for 2025, the analyst warns of an impending Bitcoin market crash in 2026. Once the cryptocurrency completes its final bullish wave and tops out, the analyst anticipates a steep correction, potentially dragging the price down to $60,000. This projected 50% drop mirrors past cycle declines, particularly the sharp correction seen in the 2018 and 2022 bear markets. 

The analyst’s chart identifies this looming price crash as part of the natural end to Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle, emphasizing that buying at the projected peak of $122,069 could expose investors to significant downside risk. Instead, Xanrox recommends preparing for this bearish transition by exiting the market within the previously outlined sell zone and waiting for a re-entry opportunity during the expected 2026 dip.