Bitcoin Enters ‘Danger Zone’ Post-Halving, Analyst Warns Of Potential Downside

Following the halving event on April 19, the price of Bitcoin has displayed a puzzling performance. BTC initially gained nearly 10% to trade as high as $67,020 on April 24. However, in the last two days,  the digital asset’s price has declined by 6.49%, falling below the $63,000 price mark. 

As expected, such negative performance has drawn attention from investors and market speculators. In particular, renowned analyst with X handle Rekt Capital has provided a theory on Bitcoin’s price fall and perhaps an insight into the future price movements of the crypto market leader.

In an X post on April 26, Rekt Capital stated that Bitcoin has now entered the Post-Halving “Danger Zone.” The analyst described this phenomenon as a period during which Bitcoin has historically experienced price corrections after the halving event. Rekt Capital noted that in 2016, Bitcoin recorded these price retraces in the three weeks following the Halving event. During this time, the token’s price declined by 11%. 

The analyst postulates that Bitcoin is now in the Post-Halving “Danger Zone” of the current bull cycle following its price fall over the last two days. It is worth stating that if Bitcoin mirrors past price movement in this phase, the token could be heading for $60,000. However, Rekt Capital states that if the crypto market leader experiences such a fate, it will be within the next two weeks. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades around $62,672 with a decline of 2.44% in the last day. This price fall underscores BTC’s negative performance in the last month in which it has lost 11.16% of its market value. 

According to data from SoSoValue, the Bitcoin Spot ETF market recorded net outflows to the tune of $217 million on April 25. Unsurprisingly, Grayscale’s GBTC accounted for $138 million of these figures as its total outflows now approach $17 billion.

Notably, for the first time ever, Fidelity’s FBTC and Valkyrie’s BRRR  produced net outflows estimated at $22 million and $20 million, respectively. Meanwhile, ARK Invest’s ARKB and Bitwise’s BITB also experienced a loss in investment on Thursday.

Interestingly, all other Bitcoin Spot ETFs recorded zero net flows except Franklin Tempton’s EZBC, which saw a net inflow of $1.87 million. At the time of writing, the BTC spot ETFs have a combined value of $128 billion, reflecting a remarkable growth since their trading debut on January 11.