Ethereum Retraces: Here’s Why ETH Bulls Must Decisively Break Above $3,500

Ethereum is firm when writing, rapidly rising after slipping to around $2,800 earlier this month. As of writing, the second most valuable coin is up by over $24% and remains in an uptrend despite the scare of July 4 and 5.

Even as buyers expect ETH bulls to press on and push the coin above $3,700, a key resistance line, on-chain data shows that there is resistance. According to IntoTheBlock data on July 22, ETH has strong resistance at $3,500, which has been the case since July 16.

At this level, 3.13 million unique addresses bought ETH at an average price of $3,547. Therefore, if prices trend below this level, these holders are in red and contemplating exiting at a loss.

The fact that some addresses could be willing to dump and exit the market when prices fall makes the general environment fragile, a considerable hindrance to the upside. This makes the situation even dire, considering that ETH is not all that firm despite the expansion of July 15.

From the daily chart, the uptrend remains, but there are pockets of weaknesses due to the sharpness of the July 4 and 5 dumps. The sell-off forced ETH towards the $2,800 level, reversing gains of May 20.

For buyers to take over, reaffirming the uptrend of July 15, prices must zoom past $3,500 but, most importantly, $3,700. This reaction line is crucial and is the only local resistance buyers must overcome for ETH to float above $3,900 and $4,100.

For now, there is strength in reading from on-chain analysis. Though over three million users are in the red, more ETH continues to be moved from exchanges.

On July 19, IntoTheBlock data revealed that $126 million worth of ETH was moved from leading exchanges. Notably, this development comes amid the expected approval of the first batch of spot Ethereum ETFs in the United States.

If the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) greenlights these products this week, it would be a massive win for ETH.

The regulatory clarity that comes with this move will be of importance. United States SEC officials have yet to clarify the status of ETH.

However, once spot Ethereum ETFs are listed in various bourses in the country, it would be assumed that the regulator agrees that the second most valuable coin is a commodity, just like Bitcoin.