Long-term Ethereum accumulation could unwind if ETH price falls below $1.9K — Analyst

Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), continues to consolidate under $2,000, which some traders view as a psychological level. Ether price slipped below this range on March 10, and the altcoin continues to trade at its lowest value since October 2023.

Ethereum 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Ether price has also lost market value with respect to other major altcoins, with XRP price reaching its highest level against ETH in five years on March 15.

The real question among investors is whether ETH is capable of recapturing a portion of its recent losses or whether traders will capitulate if the price falls below $1,900.

According to data from IntoTheBlock, a data analytics platform, Ethereum holders accumulated 3.56 million ETH between $1,900 and $1,843, with an average price of $1,871. Therefore, the current accumulation value currently stands at $6.65 billion. This indicates that ETH’s price has a strong support level between $1,900 and $1,843, which can potentially act as the bullish reversal zone.

Ethereum In/Out of the Money chart. Source: X.com

However, if Ether drops below $1,843, data points to the possibility of rising capitulation fears. Capitulation is a market sentiment where investors tend to panic, selling their positions at a loss during a sharp market correction. If ETH consolidates for a prolonged period under $1,843, the likelihood of a deeper correction increases exponentially.

Below $1,843, the size and volume of ETH accumulation are significantly lower, which further illustrates the importance of the $1,900 to $1,843 support range.

Similarly, the percentage of Ethereum addresses under profit dropped to its lowest level since the start of the decade. It is the lowest value since December 2022 at just under 46%.

ETH: Percentage of addresses in Profit. Source: X

A low percentage of profitable addresses has historically indicated a price bottom for Ethereum. Given the high ETH accumulation and fewer profitable addresses, these factors may act as bullish signals. As a result, the likelihood of Ethereum consolidating below $1,843 in the long term is decreasing.

Hitesh Malviya, the founder of DYOR crypto, said it is not a “great time to bearish on ETH.” In an X post, Malviya highlighted the recent rise of real-world assets (RWAs) in the industry, with a 50.9% increase in growth over the past 30 days and an 850% yearly increase, with Ethereum and ZKsync capturing more than 80% of the total market share.

RWA’s market share on L1s. Source: X

Related: Bitcoin 'bullish cross' with 50%-plus average returns flashes again

Alphractal, a crypto data analysis website, reviewed Ether’s current market sentiment based on the long/short ratio, a metric to evaluate the proportion of futures traders betting for price increases (long) versus decreases (shorts).

Whales vs. Retail ratio heatmap. Source: X

According to the chart above, the largest investors are more inclined toward taking long positions, whereas smaller investors are in the process of deleveraging. Deleveraging means unwinding risky, borrowed positions, which lowers market volatility and interest in leveraged trading.

With the current ratio at 1.3, the long/short ratio indicates a balanced but cautious market. Alphractal added,

Related: Ethereum onchain data suggests $2K ETH price is out of reach for now

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.