Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction: AVAX Holds $9 Support as ETF Inflows Rise and $10.50 Breakout Comes Into Focus

According to Brave New Coin data, AVAX is currently trading near $9.34, holding steady after a mild intraday move of around +1.17%. Price action has remained relatively tight between $9.13 and $9.33.

With AVAX sitting near historically important levels, the focus now shifts towards whether this zone acts as a long-term base or breaks down into another leg lower.

Avalanche is trading near $9.34, up 1.17% over the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

From a higher timeframe perspective, AVAX is sitting at what many analysts consider a major multi-year support zone, often referred to as a Point of Control (POC). The chart shared by The Moon Show highlights that price is now revisiting a high-volume region where previous accumulation has taken place.

AVAX revisits a high-volume multi-year support zone near $9. Source: The Moon Show via X

This area, around $8.5–$9.5, is critical. Historically, these zones tend to attract buyers due to heavy prior trading activity, which can act as a foundation for reversals. If this level continues to hold, it strengthens the argument that AVAX could be forming a long-term bottom structure.

However, a clean breakdown below $8.5 would invalidate this thesis and likely open the door towards deeper downside levels.

On the lower timeframe, AVAX is trading within a rising channel, showing a series of higher lows, a sign that buyers are still stepping in gradually. Trader Symba’s chart suggests that as long as AVAX holds above the channel support near $9.20–$9.30, the structure remains intact. In this case, continuation towards the upper boundary near $9.65–$9.70 becomes the next logical move.

AVAX holds a rising channel, keeping bulls in control towards $9.65–$9.70. Source: Trader Symba via X

A breakout above this range could trigger a push towards $10.20–$10.50, where stronger resistance sits. On the flip side, losing the ascending structure would be an early warning sign, potentially sending the price back towards $8.80–$9.00.

Despite the supportive structure, sentiment indicators are not fully aligned yet. Technical readings shared by AvaxJ indicate a “strong sell” bias from moving averages, with the majority of signals pointing towards continued caution.

Momentum remains weak despite improving structure, with indicators signaling caution and a lack of bullish confirmation. Source: AvaxJ via X

This divergence between price structure and indicators often creates choppy conditions. While price is holding up, momentum is still weak, which explains the slow grind rather than a sharp recovery. In simple terms, structure is improving, but confirmation is still missing.

Despite the current weak momentum and cautious market sentiment around AVAX, the ETF data is telling a different story. According to data shared by Nazoku, nearly $36 million has flowed into AVAX ETFs since their Nasdaq debut.

AVAX sees $36M in ETF inflows alongside large accumulation. Source: Nazoku via X

At the same time, a notable accumulation event saw 81.4K AVAX (worth around $767K) being purchased from Coinbase, reinforcing the idea that larger participants are stepping in during this low-confidence phase. This divergence between price weakness and steady inflows often points towards quiet accumulation, where smart money builds positions before broader market momentum returns.

From a broader cycle perspective, Crypto Patel’s analysis suggests that AVAX is currently in a clean accumulation range, with a potential long-term structure forming.

The highlighted accumulation zone sits roughly between $7 and $9, aligning closely with current price levels. If this base holds over time, the next cycle could see AVAX Price Prediction targeting significantly higher levels, with projections pointing towards $50, $100, and even $150 in an extended bullish scenario. However, these targets are still quite distant and will require multiple confirmations.

AVAX trades within a $7–$9 accumulation zone, with long-term targets extending towards $50–$150 if the base holds. Source: Crypto Patel via X

AVAX is now trading at a high-confluence zone, where multiple factors are coming together, strong historical support, early accumulation signs, rising institutional interest, and a developing short-term uptrend.

For bulls, the key remains holding above $9.00–$9.20 and breaking through $9.70–$10.50 resistance. A confirmed breakout from this range would signal a shift in momentum and open the path towards higher levels.

For bears, failure to hold this support region would likely lead to another leg lower, with $8.50 acting as the next critical level.

Overall, the structure suggests that AVAX is no longer in a free fall, it’s transitioning into a decision phase, where the next move will likely define the direction for the coming weeks.