Report: Polymarket Targets Full US Return as CFTC Talks Advance
Polymarket is in active talks with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to remove a ban that has kept its primary...
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Prediction Markets
Prediction market platforms, event contracts, sports data, and regulated market infrastructure.
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CFTC Sues Wisconsin Over Prediction Market Ban
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filed a federal lawsuit against Wisconsin on Tuesday, directly challenging th...
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Buffett Lumps Prediction Markets With Sports Betting in ‘Tax on Stupidity’ Rebuke
Warren Buffett used his first sit-down interview since stepping down as Berkshire Hathaway CEO to bundle prediction markets, legal...
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Trump changes tune on prediction markets days after saying he disliked them
US President Donald Trump says the US can’t be “left out in the cold” on prediction markets just days after he said he was “not ha...
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B3 to Launch Bitcoin-Linked Prediction Contracts as Brazil Bans Polymarket and Kalshi
Brazilian stock exchange B3 is launching six “Event Contracts” today, including instruments tied to bitcoin price movements. The c...
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Romania Blocks 300 Sites and Launches €5M Treatment Fund as Polymarket Ban Holds in Court
Romania’s gambling regulator published a one-year activity report under President Vlad-Cristian Soare, citing more than 300 unlice...
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Prediction markets reflect 'wisdom of an informed minority,’ not crowd: Study
About 3.5% of informed traders, including market makers and skilled takers, capture over 30% of profits on prediction platforms, w...
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Polymarket Study Finds 3.14% Drive Accuracy
A new academic study finds that prediction market accuracy on Polymarket comes from a small group of informed traders, not the bro...
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‘We Will See You in Court’: CFTC Defends Jurisdiction in Massachusetts Kalshi Case
CFTC escalates prediction market fight as state challenges intensify across the U.S. The Kalshi case in Massachusetts heightens te...
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38 Attorneys General Back Massachusetts Lawsuit Against Kalshi Over Prediction Markets
State gambling enforcement against Kalshi is being challenged as 38 attorneys general back Massachusetts’ lawsuit. The case could...
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CFTC sues New York over bid to apply gambling laws to prediction markets
The CFTC has filed suit to block New York from enforcing gambling laws on prediction platforms, arguing federal regulators have so...
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Kalshi, Polymarket among 27 prediction platforms banned in Brazil
Brazil has blocked 27 prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket, as new rules classify many contracts as gambli...
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CFTC Charges Polymarket Trader in First Event Contract Insider Trading Case
CFTC insider trading charges against a U.S. Army service member escalate scrutiny of prediction markets. The case raises new legal...
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Brazil Issues Ban on Non-Financial Prediction Market Contracts
The measure, which would affect international prediction markets, like Polymarket and Kalshi in Brazil, is part of a battle agains...
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CFTC Sues New York as Prediction Markets Fight Escalates
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has sued New York over prediction markets, following the state’s lawsuit against C...
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Wisconsin sues Kalshi, Polymarket, others over sports event contracts
Wisconsin’s lawsuit against Kalshi, Robinhood, Coinbase, Polymarket and Crypto.com deepens the battle between state gambling enfor...
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New York Sues Coinbase and Gemini Over ‘Prediction Markets’
Law and Ledger is a news segment focusing on crypto legal news, brought to you by Kelman Law – A law firm focused on digital asset...
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US soldier charged over $400K Polymarket bet on Maduro’s capture
US prosecutors alleged that Gannon Ken Van Dyke asked Polymarket to delete his account after profiting from trades tied to the mil...
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