XRP Price Prediction: 25% Crash Risk Emerges as Historical Bearish Charts Point to $0.77

The XRP price traded around $1.04–$1.06 on November 10–11, 2026, following a sharp decline across the cryptocurrency market. With sellers maintaining control, traders are monitoring the $1.00 level as the next important test, while longer-term chart projections identify a lower potential support range between $0.77 and $0.87.

One of the immediate bearish signals comes from a technical analysis shared by X user @MstrTranquility, which highlights XRP’s breakdown below the $1.15–$1.18 support zone on the 12-hour chart.

The post highlights seller exhaustion and buyer absorption as key signals of a potential market-structure shift rather than attempting to identify an exact price bottom. Source: @MstrTranquility/X

The chart identifies $1.00–$1.03 as the next important demand area after the previous support failed to contain selling pressure. Horizontal support levels and a Market Structure Shift (MSS) indicator are also included to help track whether the prevailing bearish trend begins to change.

The breakdown is significant because the former support zone could now act as resistance during any recovery attempt. Unless buyers push the XRP price back above this area, the chart structure continues to favor sellers.

However, the analysis does not identify $1.00–$1.03 as a confirmed market bottom. Instead, it emphasizes the importance of observing how the price behaves when it reaches the next support area.

In particular, traders are watching for seller exhaustion and buyer absorption. Seller exhaustion occurs when downward momentum begins to weaken, while buyer absorption refers to demand entering the market and absorbing available sell orders. A sustained shift in these conditions could provide an early indication that the existing market structure is changing.

Until such evidence appears, the lower support zone remains a potential downside target rather than a confirmed reversal point.

A second bearish signal comes from another technical outlook highlighting XRP’s breakdown below the $1.23 support level on the daily chart.

The analysis identifies several downside targets if selling pressure continues. These include $1.00, $0.95, and $0.90, with a deeper potential support area between $0.85 and $0.88.

The analysis advises against premature dip-buying, highlighting the need for selling exhaustion, support stabilization, and confirmed reversal signals before anticipating an uptrend. Source: @Carolinatcwnl/X

The projections suggest that XRP could face additional losses if buyers fail to defend the psychological $1 threshold. A sustained move below $1 would weaken the immediate technical outlook and potentially expose the lower price levels identified in the analysis.

Recent market performance provides additional context for this bearish outlook. According to CoinMarketCap data reported by Coinpedia, XRP’s market capitalization declined from approximately $80.99 billion on November 3 to $60.99 billion on November 10. The decline represented a loss of roughly $20 billion in market value within seven days.

XRP’s 24-hour trading volume also fell to approximately $2.74 billion, down 21.2% during the reporting period. Meanwhile, U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded funds recorded $10.42 million in net outflows on November 9, according to SoSoValue data cited by Coinpedia.

These figures indicate weakening market demand during the latest correction. However, ETF outflows and declining trading activity do not independently establish how far the cryptocurrency could fall.

The technical outlook therefore depends heavily on whether XRP can stabilize around $1.00 or continues forming lower lows.

A third bearish signal comes from TradingView analyst KooksooTrade, who identifies a longer-term support range between $0.77 and $0.87 based on XRP’s historical price behavior during previous bearish cycles.

XRP could fall to $0.77–$0.87 by November or December 2026, mirroring previous bear-market bottoms before the next bull cycle through 2029. Source: KooksooTradeTradingView

According to the analysis, XRP has historically approached ascending blue or black trendlines when reaching major bear-market lows. The current projections place those trendlines within the $0.77–$0.87 range.

KooksooTrade suggests that XRP could revisit this area during November or December 2026 before potentially beginning another bullish market cycle extending toward 2029.

The chart suggests further downside, with the C-wave expected to complete near the first or second downside target. Source: KhaldHegazy/TradingView

This outlook represents a longer-term technical interpretation rather than an established price target. Historical trendline interactions can provide useful reference points, but they do not guarantee that an asset will repeat previous market cycles.

Nevertheless, the projection introduces a deeper downside scenario beyond the immediate $1 support level. If XRP loses $0.90 after breaking below $1, the historical trendline range could become an area of interest for longer-term traders.

The timing and depth of any potential decline would still depend on market liquidity, investor demand, and broader cryptocurrency conditions.

The immediate focus for the XRP price prediction is whether buyers can maintain support around $1.00–$1.03. This area represents the next important technical zone identified after the breakdown below $1.15–$1.18.

A sustained hold above this range could allow XRP to consolidate and attempt a recovery toward its former support levels. Reclaiming $1.15–$1.18 would provide an initial indication that selling pressure is weakening, while a stronger recovery above $1.23 would challenge the bearish daily-chart structure.

XRP price chart. Source: Brave New Coin

On the other hand, a decisive break below $1.00 could expose the next downside levels at $0.95 and $0.90. Further weakness would bring the $0.85–$0.88 region into focus, followed by the longer-term $0.77–$0.87 projection.

For now, the three technical signals present a cautious outlook for Ripple’s XRP token. The breakdown of near-term support, additional downside targets on the daily chart, and historical bear-market trendlines all indicate potential risks for buyers.

However, confirmation remains important. A recovery in buying demand, sustained price stabilization, and a shift in market structure would be necessary to challenge the current bearish outlook. Until those conditions emerge, the $1 level remains a critical threshold for XRP traders to monitor.