XRP Price Today: XRP Pulls Back on Weak U.S. Data but Holds $3 Support as $4 Target Looms

The resilience at this critical price point comes despite broader market weakness, with traders now weighing whether increased volumes and improving fundamentals could power an advance toward the $4 mark in the days ahead.

The price of XRP today fell nearly 5% to trade at around $3.12 following the release of the latest U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed wholesale prices rising 0.9% in July and 3.3% year-over-year—well above expectations of 0.2% and 2.5%, respectively.

XRP was trading at around $3.126, down 3.22% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP Liquid Index (XRPLX) via Brave New Coin

Core PPI, excluding food and energy, climbed 0.9% month-over-month and reached an annual rate of 3.7%, its highest since March. The data suggests inflationary pressures remain elevated, fueling concerns that the Federal Reserve may delay anticipated interest rate cuts.

The Ripple effect was felt across the crypto market. Bitcoin retreated from its intraday record high of $124,474, while Ethereum pulled back toward $4,500 before stabilizing slightly higher. Ripple (XRP) was not spared, with derivatives market liquidations surging to $62 million in the past 24 hours—$57 million of which came from long positions, according to CoinGlass.

Despite the pressure, XRP news today points to resilience at the $3.00 level. This support, previously tested multiple times, coincides with the 200-period EMA on the 4-hour chart. Historical patterns show strong rebounds from this zone, and Thursday’s trading was no exception.

XRP price holding the $3 support ignites hope for another bullish reversal ahead. Source: Strangely_accurate on TradingView

Volumes spiked 30% to $12 billion—roughly 7% of XRP’s circulating supply—suggesting heightened interest from both buyers and sellers. Over the past three sessions, daily volumes have consistently remained above $8 billion, signaling that the $3 level remains a key battleground.

Analysts note that if buying pressure persists, a move toward $3.40 is likely, potentially clearing the path for a breakout toward the $4 mark. “The concentration of sell orders around $3.4 has been tested multiple times,” one market observer noted. “If breached, momentum could carry XRP swiftly toward higher targets.”

Apart from brief fluctuations, Ripple Labs is preparing for growth with its new stablecoin, Ripple USD (RLUSD). As per a recent report by Keyrock, the worldwide stablecoin market can grow 500% over the next five years and reach up to $3 trillion in market cap and 10% of the U.S. M2 money supply.

As a cheap and efficient settlement network, Ripple XRP can utilize RLUSD to attract cross-border payment flows, thus increasing on-chain activity and price demand for XRP. RLUSD’s current $600 million market cap is far from exhausted, especially considering Ripple’s growing presence in the U.S. and the Middle East.

The recent resolution of the XRP lawsuit—with the SEC dropping its appeal—has further allayed regulatory uncertainty, enabling Ripple to launch fresh solutions and products.

Technically, XRP’s short-term trend remains under pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is barely above the midline, and the MACD has been in a sell signal since the end of July, indicating subdued buying power.

If bulls reclaim $3.40 and break the July 18 high of $3.66, XRP could target a $4 breakout next. Source: Joeyscryptoventures on TradingView

However, the broader structure continues to be supported by higher moving averages like the 50-day EMA at $2.92, the 100-day EMA at $2.69, and the 200-day EMA at $2.42. These function as additional buffers if the XRP crypto price forecast scenario is to witness even more declines before turning around.

If bulls can retake $3.40, the subsequent level of resistance sits at the July 18 record high of $3.66. A clean break above that has the potential to shift focus firmly to $4, especially with speculation building on a potential XRP ETF following recent SEC approvals of other funds based on cryptocurrencies.

In the future, long-term XRP forecasts are optimistic but with caution. As institutional interest continues to increase, with possible ETF listings and the growing use of Ripple’s payment systems, the token may gain from continued adoption.

If the general market environment remains friendly, XRP 2025 forecast models place the token in the $4.50–$6 range, but more optimistic projections envision the potential for over $10 in the next ten years, especially if Ripple vs. SEC uncertainty issues remain addressed and global payment use grows.

The XRP price today reflects a tug-of-war between bearish macroeconomic sentiment and bullish technical resilience. While U.S. inflation data has dampened near-term risk appetite, XRP’s ability to hold the $3 line keeps the $4 breakout target within reach. With strong volumes, supportive technicals, and expanding fundamentals via RLUSD, will XRP go up in the coming weeks? Traders are watching closely.