Troy Miller here, tracking a move that’s half comedy, half chaos theory. Dogecoin is popping off today, and I think I know why. With the final votes rolling in for the U.S. election, traders have their eyes on an increasingly plausible scenario: a Trump win, backed—quite vocally—by noted DOGE enthusiast Elon Musk. And in a digital soap opera where Dogecoin has become the unofficial mascot for Elon’s antics, it makes perfect sense that Doge would get a little frisky.

Dogecoin jumped 10% at the start of election day, source: Trading View

Let’s break down why today, of all days, Dogecoin is seeing this spike. First off, there’s the Trump factor. Like him or not, Trump’s brand brings a certain level of volatility. The idea of a Trump comeback fuels a feeling of high-risk, high-reward—perfect for a “meme coin” like Dogecoin, which thrives on speculation, bold moves, and the bizarre. Trump’s infamous disregard for convention fits hand-in-glove with Dogecoin’s original “joke” status. It’s not about the fundamentals; it’s about the spectacle.

Source: X

Then, there’s Elon Musk, the eternal puppet master of crypto’s wilder side. Musk has been an open supporter of Dogecoin, turning it from a laughable alt-coin into a pseudo-legit player with his relentless tweets and occasional pumps. His endorsement of Trump’s candidacy, cryptic though it may be, has had the crypto community on edge, and many Dogecoin holders are reading between the tweets. A Trump-Elon-Dogecoin trifecta is a perfect cocktail for people hungry for both a bit of rebellion and a chance to make a quick buck. If Musk has even hinted at Dogecoin alongside his Trump commentary, you can bet the crypto crowd is paying attention.

But let’s add a little nuance to the meme magic. Election seasons are notoriously volatile for markets, and crypto’s no exception. While most assets are tiptoeing around in fear of regulatory fallout or policy shifts, Dogecoin thrives on unpredictability. A Trump victory could (maybe, potentially, if you squint) reduce regulatory pressure on crypto, or at least delay the oncoming tide of stablecoin regulations. Dogecoin, despite its meme-coin status, has often been caught up in regulatory chatter—making a Trump win feel like a “win” for Doge speculators hoping for more deregulation.

Now, are these the sort of fundamentals that would make a traditional investor’s eyes light up? Hardly. But Dogecoin has never cared about being respectable. Doge is the wild card, the anti-establishment token, and its fans are betting that a “chaos candidate” with Elon in his corner could usher in a new wave of speculation.

Bluntz sees DOGE making gains against BTC. Source: X

So what are we looking at here? Dogecoin is moving today because its entire existence is built on moments like this—a real-world drama where reality is stranger than fiction. It doesn’t need a clear use case or a solid whitepaper; it just needs people who are willing to bet on a narrative. And today, that narrative is loud and clear: Trump’s momentum is building, Elon’s winking from the sidelines, and Doge believers are all in for the ride. 

Heck, Elon is so all in on Trump, he went on Rogan last night to tell people to vote for Trump, and even got Rogan to finally remove the mask and endorse Trump.

Naturally, this was immortalized by Beeple. We live in a simulation.

Source: X

Hold on, folks. We’re in for a bumpy, meme-fueled election night.

Source: X