A recent Fairleigh Dickinson University (FDU) poll sheds light on how former President Donald Trump’s pro-crypto stance is influencing voter preferences as he vies for the Republican nomination in the 2024 U.S. presidential race. Trump’s positioning on cryptocurrency seems to be paying off politically, particularly among the growing number of crypto owners in the United States, providing a nuanced view of how digital assets are beginning to influence political dynamics in ways that may shape future elections.

Trump’s Crypto Embrace: A Game-Changer for the 2024 Race?

According to the poll, Trump holds a significant lead over Vice President Kamala Harris among likely voters who own cryptocurrency or have dealt with digital assets. Specifically, the poll found that Trump is ahead of Harris by a 12-point margin in this group. However, for voters who do not own cryptocurrency, Harris holds a similar 12-point lead. This polarization in voter preferences along the crypto divide highlights how Trump’s embrace of cryptocurrency is creating a sharp delineation between different voter demographics.

Source: FDU

Crypto adoption has surged over the past few years, and now, a reported 15% of U.S. voters either own or have owned cryptocurrency. This number includes ownership of various forms of digital assets, such as cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). The 15% crypto-owner demographic, while still a minority, represents a growing and potentially pivotal slice of the electorate, especially in a closely contested race.

What makes this even more compelling is that the poll data reveals distinct demographic trends among crypto owners. Those in favor of Trump and his pro-crypto rhetoric tend to be younger, male, and disproportionately come from minority communities. These voters are less likely to hold traditional financial investments but are enthusiastic about the potential for cryptocurrency to disrupt the status quo.

A Political Calculus: Trump’s Crypto Bet

Trump’s strategic embrace of cryptocurrency appears to be calculated. Despite some initial skepticism in the past, Trump has shifted his public stance on the issue. In recent years, Trump began to warm to the world of digital currencies, even launching his own series of NFTs through the “Trump Digital Trading Cards” project, which reportedly made millions within the first 24 hours of its debut. This move could be viewed as an effort to position himself as the candidate most aligned with technological innovation and financial decentralization.

Card purchasers earlier this year were invited to get their hands on a snippet of the suit Trump wore at the First Presidential Debate in June. The website stated, “His knockout performance resulted in a decisive victory, dramatically shifting the course of the Presidential Race. Historians will be talking about this Debate for years to come.”

Source: Trump Cards

The FDU poll indicates that Trump’s gamble on the crypto crowd is paying dividends in the form of voter loyalty, particularly from a demographic that is increasingly interested in decentralization and disillusioned by traditional government and financial institutions. This is significant as both major political parties grapple with how to engage younger and more tech-savvy voters who might otherwise feel politically disengaged.

Crypto’s Political Clout: Beyond a Fringe Movement

While cryptocurrency and blockchain technology were once considered niche issues, their influence is beginning to stretch beyond tech circles and into the mainstream political arena. The FDU poll underscores how cryptocurrency ownership is now a credible indicator of political preference, particularly in a race where the issue of digital assets may become more central as the election progresses.

Cryptocurrency owners are more likely to favor deregulation and policies that favor financial innovation. They see Trump’s stance as aligning with their desire for reduced governmental oversight in this space. The former president’s general anti-establishment narrative fits neatly with the decentralized ethos of blockchain technology, which champions the removal of centralized control over finance and data.

Source: FDU

Furthermore, the interest surrounding Trump’s NFT venture signals an attempt to tie his campaign closely to the crypto world, a move that resonates with an electorate frustrated by legacy systems of finance and governance. Trump’s followers in the crypto space are likely drawn to his populist approach, seeing him as a figure who could empower ordinary citizens through decentralized finance rather than entrenched financial elites.

Kamala Harris and Crypto: The Flip Side

On the other side of the political spectrum, Vice President Kamala Harris has not been as vocal on cryptocurrency as Trump, which may explain her lower appeal among crypto owners. The FDU poll suggests that this lack of engagement with the crypto community could be contributing to her 12-point deficit among these voters. Harris and the Democratic Party’s approach to financial regulation tends to be more cautious, and this could be perceived by the crypto community as stifling innovation.

Harris, along with many Democrats, has supported increased regulatory scrutiny of the crypto industry, especially in light of concerns over fraud, environmental impact (from energy-intensive crypto mining), and the potential for digital assets to be used for illicit purposes. While these concerns are valid, the FDU poll shows that such a cautious approach might not resonate with an increasingly influential segment of the electorate that prizes innovation and disruption over regulation.

While Harris has previously been viewed as aligned with an anti-crypto sentiment in Washington, her approach seems to be shifting in response to this. 

Some in the industry, such as Ripple’s Chris Larsen now see Harris as a candidate open to bipartisan solutions for regulating cryptocurrency and digital assets. However, not everyone is convinced of this so-called “crypto pivot.”

In contrast to speculation, official documents related to her recent Erie event highlight her commitment to protecting cryptocurrency ownership rather than restricting it. The campaign materials state that Harris will advocate for regulations that ensure “Black men who invest in and own these assets are protected.”

Source: Kamala Harris Campaign

The Demographics of Crypto Ownership: A Potential Key to Victory

Understanding the demographics behind cryptocurrency ownership is crucial to understanding the broader political implications of the FDU poll. Crypto owners tend to skew younger, with a significant portion falling into the millennial and Gen Z categories. They are also disproportionately male and more likely to be from minority communities. These are precisely the demographics that could be crucial in deciding tight electoral races, particularly in swing states.

Moreover, this group is far more likely to be tech-savvy, economically progressive, and frustrated with existing political and financial structures. Trump’s pro-crypto rhetoric and association with NFT ventures tap into this frustration and excitement about new financial possibilities. On the flip side, Harris and the Democratic Party will need to find ways to engage this demographic, perhaps by proposing policies that strike a balance between innovation and regulation, or risk losing a growing portion of younger, tech-forward voters.

The Future of Cryptocurrency in Politics

As digital assets like cryptocurrency continue to grow in adoption and legitimacy, their influence on politics is only going to increase. The FDU poll suggests that 2024 could be the first major election where crypto ownership becomes a significant voting issue, potentially influencing the strategies of not just Trump and Harris, but all candidates on the ballot.

In the meantime, crypto lobbying has taken various forms this election cycle. Apart from financial contributions, crypto companies are organizing rallies and mobilizing grassroots support through initiatives like Stand With Crypto, a campaign launched by Coinbase to generate public support for pro-crypto politicians. 

Source: Stand with Crypto

For now, Trump seems to be winning the crypto war, securing strong support among digital asset owners. Whether this support will translate into electoral success remains to be seen, but what is clear is that cryptocurrency is no longer a fringe topic—it’s now part of mainstream political discourse. How candidates handle the crypto issue, whether through embracing or regulating it, will likely influence voter turnout, particularly among younger and more tech-focused demographics. The crypto revolution, it seems, has arrived at the ballot box.