In a series of posts on X, Ki Young Ju described the altcoin space as a “zero-sum player-versus-player game” that continues to lag while Bitcoin’s market capitalization surges.

In his latest update, Ki Young Ju observed that the overall altcoin market cap remains below its previous all-time high, despite a substantial rise in Bitcoin’s value since 2021. He attributed this divergence to capital simply rotating among various altcoin projects rather than expanding with new inflows. “Only a few alts with strong use cases and narratives will survive,” he wrote in a recent X post.

Source: X

Ki Young Ju’s remarks expand on a stance he shared on December 3, 2024, when he noted that altcoins were unlikely to experience the kind of explosive “alt season” once seen in earlier market cycles. At the time, he characterized the outlook as “weird and challenging,” warning investors that only a small group of altcoins would draw meaningful liquidity. In his view, overall market sentiment remains positive, yet a gap persists between that sentiment and real capital moving into altcoins.

Bitcoin’s Paper-based Layer 2 Ecosystem

The analyst underscored that Bitcoin has been developing its own “paper-based Layer 2 ecosystem,” which includes exchange-traded funds, institutional funds, and publicly traded companies. According to Ki Young Ju, these vehicles allow traditional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly entering the crypto markets. As a result, fresh liquidity in Bitcoin is increasingly siloed within ETF and fund structures, making it harder for altcoins to benefit from Bitcoin’s upward momentum.

Ki Young Ju also suggested that the longstanding correlation between Bitcoin and altcoins has broken down. While altcoins once tracked Bitcoin’s price movements, they now face a new reality: “Altcoins used to move together based on their correlation with BTC, but that pattern has now broken,” he wrote. He identified a small number of altcoin projects that have started demonstrating unique growth, fueled by their capacity to attract new liquidity independently.

Altcoins Will Struggle To Stay Relevant

Looking ahead, Ki Young Ju said altcoins have two strategic choices to stay relevant. The first involves following Bitcoin’s path and creating “paper-wrapped” versions of their assets, which could open the door to institutional investment and allow them to tap into regulated financial products. The second approach requires building what he called a “real Internet money ecosystem,” employing stablecoins or Bitcoin as a foundation for genuine utility. Ki Young Ju argued that, whichever route they choose, altcoin developers must demonstrate tangible value and foster investor confidence.

“Altcoin investors should find a coin that can do one of the two and hold it long-term,” Ki Young Ju noted. With total altcoin capitalization stuck below its all-time peak, many analysts believe the future rests on innovation rather than short-lived market rotations. For now, the spotlight appears firmly on Bitcoin’s institutional growth, leaving altcoins to scramble for durable solutions—and fresh capital—to secure their place in the evolving digital asset landscape.

That means that for investors who are wondering what crypto to buy right now, the answer remains nuanced. One strategy is to simply buy Bitcoin only, given the risk in selecting the small handful of the hundreds of alt coins that are likely to outperform Bitcoin. It’s the simple answer – Buy Bitcoin, and alt coin investors may learn this lesson the hard way.

The Set and Forget Bitcoin Investment Strategy

Fred Thiel, CEO of Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA), recommends a simple, long-term investment strategy for Bitcoin investors. Speaking to FOX Business on January 2, Thiel highlighted Bitcoin’s resilience, noting that the cryptocurrency has experienced annual price declines in only three of the last 14 years. He suggested retail investors consider adopting an “invest-and-forget” approach, stating, “Put just a little bit away every month in Bitcoin and forget about it. Over time, it grows.”

This long-term Bitcoin investment approach does make sense. Especially, if as Bitwise predicts, the price of Bitcoin hits $200,000 in 2025.

Source: Bitwise