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Polymarket traders price a 26% chance that the US government restricts access to major Chinese AI models like DeepSeek by end of 2...
Iran reports 59 killed and 666 wounded in US airstrikes since June 27. Bitcoin volatility spikes and Polymarket logs $529M in Iran...
The "GCottrell93" account bet the funds on Trump's election win and cashed out the profit, though who paid in and who collected is...
While the industry spent the summer arguing about stablecoin reserves and DeFi certification schemes, the most consequential quest...
Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, with a 36% chance. Rate hike by September 2026 at 62% YES. The post Fed may hike rates twice in...
Convicted fraudster and Nigel Farage backer George Cottrell had $9 million deposited into his Polymarket account by two unknown so...
France’s National Gambling Authority has ordered internet service providers to block access to Polymarket, putting the prediction-...
US Secretary of State Rubio met Russia's Lavrov in Manila, pledging a constructive role in Ukraine peace. Polymarket prices ceasef...
Clarity Act's chances for 2026 dim as Senate stalls. Market now at 35.5% YES. The post Clarity Act’s 2026 prospects dim as Senate...
Odds for the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026 have dropped after bill amendments. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at...
On July 28 and 29, the Federal Reserve meets to set its next rate decision, and traders will try to price the outcome through bond...
Bitcoin has dipped below $66,000 after climbing as much as 2.5% to trade just shy of $67,000 on Tuesday for the first time since m...
Polymarket assigns a 64% probability for a Fed rate hike in 2026. Rate hike by September 2026 at 49.5% YES. The post Fed rate hike...
President Donald Trump has reportedly agreed to proposed ethics restrictions tied to sweeping US cryptocurrency legislation, addre...
Polymarket refers over 90 accounts to law enforcement as wallets with 98% win rates on Iran bets trigger the first federal insider...
Polymarket gives Nvidia a 61% chance of staying the world's largest company through 2026, with Apple at 23.5% despite briefly over...
Polymarket traders are pricing a 70% chance that bitcoin (BTC) touches $67,500 at some point in July, up from roughly 56% odds cit...
US may halt offensive operations against Iran by August 31, 2026. Market at 65% YES. The post US may halt Iran offensive operation...