Dogecoin Starts Out February with 23% Crash, What Does Historical Data Point To?

The Dogecoin price has started out this month with a crash, sparking a bearish sentiment among DOGE investors. This bearish sentiment is further strengthened by historical data, which suggests that these investors shouldn’t be too optimistic about the foremost meme coin recording significant gains this month. 

CryptoRank data shows that the Dogecoin price has suffered a 23% crash since the start of February. This follows the monthly green close, which the foremost meme coin enjoyed in January, with a 4% gain in the first month of the year. Amid this price crash since the start of this month, historical data also points to a bearish outlook for DOGE throughout this month. 

Further data from CryptoRank shows that February is historically a bearish month for Dogecoin. The foremost meme coin has suffered a monthly average loss of 1% in February since it launched in 2013. DOGE has had only four monthly green closes in February over the last twelve years. 

However, it is worth mentioning that Dogecoin has only once closed out February with a loss of over 20%, which was in 2014, when its price crashed by over 30%. As such, the meme coin could still witness a relief bounce, which could lessen the severity of the 23% price crash suffered since the start of this month. 

Meanwhile, despite the historical data painting a bearish outlook for Dogecoin, crypto analysts have provided a bullish outlook for the meme coin. Crypto analyst Master Kenobi recently highlighted a similarity between DOGE’s current price action and that of the 2017 bull run. Based on the similarities, he predicted that Dogecoin could soon begin the next leg of its bull run, rallying above $1 and reaching a market peak sometime in April. 

In an X post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez predicted that Dogecoin could still reach $10 in this market cycle. He stated that as long as DOGE holds above $0.19, the setup for a parabolic rally toward $10 remains strong. The analyst added that momentum is building for the foremost meme coin, indicating that it could soon begin the next leg of its bull run. 

Crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade predicted that Dogecoin could at least reach $4.5. He stated that DOGE’s Average Directional Index (ADX) signals a potentially massive bull run on the horizon. The ADX measures trend strength by quantifying the degree of directional movement in price. Analyzing the weekly chart, the analyst asserted that a “super strong trend” could happen soon and will reach its peak in the coming weeks as the meme coin reaches $4.5. 

At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.25, down over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.