Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Prediction: $172M Whale Staking and Bullish CVD Divergence Raise Hopes for $73 Retest

HYPE was trading around $57-$59 in the supplied market data, well below its June peak near $76.85. CoinMarketCap currently lists the token’s all-time high at $76.85 on June 16, 2026, while recent price data shows HYPE trading in a relatively narrow range around the upper-$50s.

The decline has created a mixed technical backdrop. Short-term moving averages remain a source of resistance, while momentum indicators have cooled from earlier overbought levels. At the same time, on-chain activity suggests some large holders are continuing to commit capital to the Hyperliquid ecosystem.

The combination has left the latest HYPE price prediction dependent on two questions: Can buyers defend the $52.60-$54.50 support region, and can HYPE eventually reclaim the $63-$64 resistance area?

According to Lookonchain, a coordinated group of whales used 19 wallets to deposit and stake approximately 2.93 million HYPE tokens, valued at around $172 million at the reported price.

A coordinated group of whales deposited and staked 2.93 million HYPE tokens worth $172 million across 19 wallets, following accumulation at an average price of $44 nine months ago. Source: Lookonchain via X

The wallets reportedly accumulated the tokens from Bybit about nine months earlier at an average price of approximately $44. Based on HYPE trading near $59 at the time of the analysis, the position represented an unrealized gain of roughly $44.5 million.

Arkham data reportedly showed large transfers from multiple addresses into staking contracts. The movement is notable because staking removes tokens from immediate circulation and can signal that holders are prioritizing longer-term participation in the protocol rather than actively trading the assets.

However, staking activity should not automatically be interpreted as a direct bullish price signal. Large holders can stake tokens for a variety of reasons, including earning rewards or maintaining ecosystem exposure. The key factor for the HYPE price prediction will be whether this activity coincides with sustained demand in the spot and derivatives markets.

Hyperliquid itself has continued to attract attention as a decentralized trading ecosystem. Its platform is best known for perpetual futures and spot trading, while its broader ecosystem includes HyperEVM and other decentralized finance applications.

Technical signals are also providing a potential counterpoint to HYPE’s recent decline.

Tealstreet’s analysis noted that HYPE rejected the $63-$64 pivot area before selling off toward the $57 region. The key observation was that price had not yet convincingly reclaimed the rejected zone, but the four-hour chart was showing “bullish divergence on CVD.”

HYPE rejected the $63–$64 pivot and fell toward $57, while bullish CVD divergence on the 4-hour chart suggests potential signs of weakening selling pressure. Source: Tealstreet on TradingView

Cumulative volume delta measures the difference between aggressive buying and selling activity. A bullish divergence occurs when price weakens while the underlying order-flow measure becomes relatively stronger. It can indicate that selling pressure is losing momentum, although it does not guarantee a reversal.

This signal is particularly relevant because HYPE has been consolidating after its sharp advance earlier in 2026. The token’s all-time high stands near $76.85, meaning a move back toward $73 would represent a substantial recovery but would still leave price below the previous peak.

The divergence therefore offers a potential early indication of stabilization rather than confirmation of a new uptrend.

A separate four-hour analysis shared by Slash Trade presented a more constructive structure, identifying higher lows above rising support.

HYPE’s 4H chart shows a bullish structure above $54.50 support, with RSI at 54.2 and a potential move toward $61.45 if price breaks the $60 resistance. Source: Slash Trade via X

The analysis placed immediate support around $54.50 and resistance near $60. RSI was reported at 54.2, a neutral-to-mildly bullish reading that suggests momentum was positive but not overextended.

Based on that setup, the analysis identified $61.45 as an upside target if HYPE breaks above resistance. A move below support, meanwhile, could expose the token to approximately $51.75.

There is, however, an important inconsistency in the supplied chart material. While the accompanying post describes a bullish structure, the chart itself is labeled “BEARISH” and shows bearish engulfing candles, declining simple moving averages and elevated sell-volume spikes. RSI on that chart was also near 37.

This discrepancy means the chart and accompanying commentary should not be treated as a single confirmed signal. The conflicting readings reinforce the need to focus on actual price levels and follow-through rather than relying on one technical indicator.

The broader range analysis from 3Commas identifies $52.636 as the key local floor and $72.985 as the main decision point.

HYPE is consolidating below the $76.991 macro ceiling while holding above the $52.636 local low, suggesting a range-bound recovery phase rather than a confirmed breakdown. Source: 3Commas on TradingView

The analysis describes HYPE as trading inside a broad range below a macro ceiling near $76.991. A daily close above $72.985 would represent a meaningful structural breakout, with a measured-move objective around $73.409.

The roadmap is therefore straightforward: hold the $52.636 support area, reclaim the upper portion of the range and eventually break through $72.985. A clean daily close below $52.636 would invalidate that structure and increase the risk of a deeper retracement.

The deeper macro support level is identified near $34.444, although that is considerably below the current trading range and would require a much more significant deterioration in market conditions.

The broader technical data presents a cautious picture.

HYPE remains below several short- and intermediate-term moving averages, including the 20-, 50- and 100-period averages on various timeframes. This indicates that the recent pullback has weakened intermediate momentum.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) price chart. Source: Brave New Coin

At the same time, the token remains above its longer-term 200-day moving average in the supplied analysis. That distinction is important. It suggests that the recent weakness has not, by itself, erased the broader bullish structure established during HYPE’s earlier 2026 rally.

Momentum indicators are similarly mixed. RSI readings in the low-to-mid 40s point to reduced buying pressure without reaching deeply oversold conditions. The MACD histogram has reportedly flattened or remained negative, reflecting weaker short-term momentum.

Price action around $56-$59 is therefore critical. A sustained hold above this area could allow HYPE to challenge $60-$61. A break above that zone would put the $63-$64 pivot back into focus.

On the downside, a decisive loss of $56 could expose the $52-$55 area, with $52.636 serving as the more important structural support.

The technical picture currently offers no definitive confirmation that HYPE is preparing for a move toward $73. Instead, several conditions would need to align.

First, buyers would need to defend the $52.636-$54.50 support region. Second, HYPE would need to reclaim $60 and then overcome the $61.45 area highlighted in the four-hour analysis. A stronger recovery would likely require a successful retest of the $63-$64 pivot.

Only a sustained break above $72.985 would confirm the range breakout described in the 3Commas analysis, with $73.409 emerging as the first measured-move target.

The $172 million staking activity and bullish CVD divergence provide constructive signals, but neither independently confirms a price reversal. HYPE remains sensitive to broader crypto-market conditions, derivatives positioning and trading volume.

For now, the most important levels are $52.636 on the downside and $72.985 on the upside. Between them, $60-$64 represents the main resistance cluster. A move through that area would strengthen the case for a retest of the $73 region, while a breakdown below the range floor would weaken the bullish thesis and shift attention toward lower support levels.

The current HYPE price prediction, therefore, remains neutral to cautiously constructive: whale staking and improving order-flow signals offer reasons for optimism, but the token must reclaim several technical barriers before a $73 retest becomes a confirmed market structure scenario.