On-Chain Data Shows XRP Price Bottom Might Be Further Below — Here’s Why

After a poor performance in the first two months of the year, the XRP price appears to have steadied its movement, rousing the hopes of relief among investors. However, the latest on-chain analysis suggests that the altcoin might not have hit its true local price bottom yet. 

In a recent post on the social media platform X, on-chain analyst Joao Wedson offered insights into the XRP market, saying the cryptocurrency is yet to enter the early phases of a price rebound, contrary to popular expectations. This on-chain hypothesis is based on data from the Number of Days Spent At A Profit metric. 

For context, this metric indicates how long current XRP holders have been in profit, relative to past price levels. As the name suggests, the indicator measures how many days have passed since XRP was last at a higher price. 

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According to Wedson, this metric has historically reached extreme levels at periods when the Number of Days At A Profit climbed to high levels. Notably, the case is quite different from the usual historical context, as the XRP price still trades significantly below these ‘hallmark’ zones. 

The market expert explained that this historical context suggests that the XRP price could see more downside movement in the near to mid-term. Furthermore, the analyst pointed out that this is the major prerequisite for the formation of historical patterns, which in turn precedes the formation of previous bottoms.

At the same time, blockchain analytics firm Santiment revealed that there has recently been a considerable amount of growth recorded in the XRP Ledger. Interestingly, much of this expansion is driven by a considerable increase in the number of small wallets holding XRP.

The most notable growth has been from a cohort of investors typically referred to as ‘shrimps’ (with less than 100 XRP in their wallets). According to Santiment, these shrimp-wallets have added up to a total of about 5.66 million separate addresses, hence reflecting the widespread adoption of XRP by retailers and everyday users.

At the same time, wallets containing between 100 and 100,000 XRP have also expanded in number, reaching an approximated amount of 2.01 million wallets. Because this group represents a mid-tier level of investors who make up a significant part of the network, this could mean that the XRP market has seen an inflow of more serious accumulators. 

While the amount of small wallets have displayed impressive expansions, the number of large-holder wallets have comparatively only recorded miniscule growth. Santiment revealed that these wallets with more than 100,000 XRP are capped at around 32,054. From this, it appears that this investor group has been involved mostly in distributions or repositioning events.

With little influence from the whales driving XRP prices, it becomes more apparent that a local bottom may still be at lower prices. As of this writing, the XRP price stands at approximately $1.44, reflecting a 0.4% loss in the past day.