Solana Near Last Major Resistance Amid 10% Surge – Analyst Says ‘Real Bull Run’ Is Close

Solana (SOL) has recorded a significant rally over the past week, reclaiming the $160 area and attempting to hold its last major resistance. Some analysts suggest that if bullish momentum continues, the altcoin will run to new highs once this level is recovered.

As the crypto market capitalization nears the $4 trillion mark and Bitcoin (BTC) makes new all-time highs (ATHs), Solana, one of the leading altcoins of this cycle, is retesting crucial levels after climbing nearly 10% over the past week.

The cryptocurrency has been compressing between two key levels since the Q2 recovery, trading between the $140-$180 mark for over two months. However, last month’s geopolitical tensions saw SOL briefly lose its local range and retest the $120-$130 area.

Amid the July rally, Solana has reclaimed its local range, climbing to the upper boundary and attempting to break above key $180 resistance. Analyst Crypto Jelle noted that, just like Ethereum’s (ETH) $4,000 barrier, this area is the “final major level for bears to defend.”

This has been a key level during this cycle, serving as a major bounce area during the Q4 2024 and early 2025 rally. Additionally, it became the most crucial resistance after losing this area in late February, with multiple failed attempts to reclaim it over the past months.

Reclaiming this level could propel the token to the $200 mark and set the stage for a continuation to higher levels, the analyst affirmed. Meanwhile, market watcher Froggy highlighted that Solana retested this key zone on Friday, “signaling strong bullish intent.”

Nonetheless, the altcoin fell below this level after hitting its two-month high of $184, trading within the $177-179 price range for the past several hours. To the analyst, “as long as $168 holds, a move toward $186–$188 remains likely.”

According to Daan Crypto Trades, if SOL breaks above and holds the crucial level, the next area of interest would be around the $220 mark, followed by the $260 barrier.

The trader explained that SOL reclaimed the Daily 200 Moving Average (MA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) earlier this week, which led to the ongoing retest of the $180 area.

He also noted that memecoins are “running well” as SOL-based tokens in the sector have seen a 13.3% weekly increase, according to CoinGecko data. “That generally puts some bid behind SOL,” Daan said, adding that, “As long as memes run, I think SOL does too.”

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Alex Clay highlighted that the cryptocurrency has been in a bullish megaphone formation for over a year, and “Once Large Caps catch the Real Bull Run,” Solana will lead the market.

During this period, SOL has traded between the upper and the lower boundary, with its latest retest of the pattern’s support occurring in April. Since then, the cryptocurrency has bounced toward the mid-zone of the formation, holding the 50-day EMA, 100-day EMA, and 200-day EMA as dynamic support.

If it continues to move between the pattern’s boundaries, Solana could be poised for a breakout toward the megaphone’s ascending resistance, at around the $350 level. To the analyst, “Breakout of ATH and Price Discovery is inevitable,” with the initial targets sitting around $350-$400.

As of this writing, SOL trades at $177, a 2% increase in the daily timeframe.