Solana (SOL) Retests Crucial Support Level – Is A 50% Price Drop On The Horizon?

Solana (SOL) has seen a nearly 40% retrace over the past month, losing key support levels since February. As its price retests a key horizontal level, some analysts warn of a potential 50% correction to a yearly low.

Solana has been one of the leading cryptocurrencies of the cycle, fueled by the market’s memecoin frenzy. The altcoin climbed over 270% in a year to its latest all-time high (ATH) of $270, registered nearly two months ago.

Nonetheless, SOL’s bullish sentiment has significantly decreased since January, recently plummeting to its lowest point in over a year. As a result, the cryptocurrency has dropped over 50% from its January 19 ATH.

Solana lost the key $200-$220 support zone at the start of last month, with the February market crashes sending SOL to retest its next crucial levels. After losing the $180 mark two weeks ago, its price hovered between the $130-$150 range, surging to the $179 mark at the start of March.

This week’s market correction, which saw Bitcoin (BTC) drop to $76,000 for the first time in four months, has sent Solana to new monthly lows.

On Tuesday, SOL’s price briefly dropped to $111, a level not seen since the August 2024 market crash, before bouncing back to $125. Amid the ongoing retest, pseudonym trader Crypto Busy warned that SOL must “hold this crucial support to maintain a bullish sentiment above $100.”

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez previously noted that the most crucial zone for Solana appears to be between $110 and $125, as this horizontal level served as a key support during its 2021 and 2024 rallies. The analyst suggested that “holding above this range could be key for the next move.”

Martinez also pointed out that Solana could be on the verge of a breakdown, as it has broken below its key level. According to the post, SOL risks a 50% crash to the $60 mark if it fails to hold the $125 support zone.

The analyst highlighted that the cryptocurrency has been forming a right angle ascending broadening pattern since March 2024, when it first reclaimed the level during this cycle.

During this period, every higher high on Solana’s chart has created a rising trendline at the top of the pattern, while the $125 support has held “as a strong horizontal support trendline.”

However, SOL’s break below this horizontal zone has increased the odds of a 50% price correction to the Q4 2023 levels. Additionally, Martinez recently warned of a potential correction based on Solana’s trading pair against Bitcoin, which started to resemble ETH/BTC’s chart.

The analyst suggested that the SOL/BTC chart was looking like Ethereum’s trading pair against BTC’s past price action, adding that if it continued to follow this pattern, the SOL/BTC chart could see a drop to the 0.0008 region. After the recent price action, the trading pair hit a 15-month low of 0.0014624 on Tuesday.

As of this writing, Solana trades at $124, a 14% decline in the weekly timeframe.