XRP Enters ‘Washout Zone,’ Then Targets $30, Crypto Analyst Says

XRP has entered what Korean Certified Elliott Wave Analyst XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) calls a “washout” phase inside a broader Elliott Wave corrective structure, a zone he argues can set the stage for a renewed macro advance, with eventual cycle targets stretching into the $20–$30 region.

In a Feb. 3 video breakdown, XForceGlobal said the recent pullback does not change his larger framework, but rather pushes XRP deeper into what he described as the “alternative” macro scenario: an expanded flat correction where a prior push to new highs becomes a “fake out” before a final leg lower attempts to flush late buyers.

“Nothing new here, we’ve been talking about this for quite some time where we have 2 extreme points of interest,” he said. “The B Wave here creating a fake out point at the all time high, and then the current C Wave that we are also in that creates a fake out point below the market structure of this previous low here, that Wave A.”

The core of his argument rests on a measured target for Wave C derived from the pivot points of Waves A and B, specifically the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, which he framed less as a mystical level and more as a behavioral marker where corrections turn emotional. In his telling, Wave A is the initial counter-trend move, Wave B is the “overconfidence phase,” and Wave C becomes the forced exit: stop losses, broken conviction, and liquidation pressure.

“Basically, it’s a trap and kind of a liquidation structure where Wave A is the first counter trend of the larger trend that we were expecting,” XForceGlobal said. “And then the B Wave is the overconfidence phase and then the C Wave becomes the reality check where everyone who bought the B Wave at the top is now wrong and exiting at the local bottoms because of their stop losses or they just lose confidence in the overall structure of the XRP.”

He argued that because Wave C is driven by “emotion and not balance,” it tends to resolve as a five-wave decline rather than a three-wave correction, often terminating around the 161.8% extension as selling pressure exhausts. The key, he said, is not that the asset becomes “cheap,” but that sellers run out of ammunition and divergences begin to appear.

“The markets will not reverse there because prices are really cheap,” he said. “It reverses because the sellers are exhausted at those levels and usually you’ll see sellers being really exhausted. You’ll start to see some bullish divergences occurring.”

From a levels perspective, XForceGlobal described a volatile “free for all” zone where bulls and bears battle for a base, pointing to a range he labeled between roughly $1.50 down toward $1.08–$1.09. He suggested that, if the expanded flat thesis holds, that area could evolve into a buy zone, but only after the five-wave move down completes and a reversal sequence provides confirmation.

Macro context remains central to his conviction. XForceGlobal pointed to XRP breaking out of a prior multi-year triangle and then rallying roughly 500% as evidence of an objective five-wave advance, followed by corrective structures consistent with an expanded flat setup: a non-impulsive pullback, a B-wave push to an extreme, then a new downside extreme below prior market structure.

$XRP

One of the most important #XRP videos to date!

A complete 10-minute breakdown covering targets and invalidation levels. More importantly, I cover how to properly manage expectations in the midst of chaos using the macro structure, and why the overall trend remains bullish. pic.twitter.com/E2g9ga52N9

— XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) February 3, 2026

If XRP does complete the corrective leg and transitions into what he frames as a new impulsive cycle, with the classic wave three, wave four, wave five sequence, his roadmap opens higher targets over time. “We got a wave three in the making here, a wave four, and then a wave five that’s pending that could bring us up into that $20 to $25, $30 region that we’re looking for at a later stage,” he said.

He also flagged $6 as a major level where he expects profit-taking and a reassessment, framing it as part of a broader risk-management approach rather than a single-shot price call.

At press time, XRP traded at $1.5887.