XRP Price Prediction: Momentum and $1.40 Floor to Hold

XRP price trades around the $1.40 to $1.45 range, down from the recent $1.70 peak as the token digests one of its sharpest weekly swings of the year, despite its prediction still leaning bullish. The rally has faded, leaving traders with a much simpler question: Does $1.40 hold, or does this unwind further?

The move traces back to a broken falling wedge pattern and a wave of legislative optimism. President Trump pushed Congress on the CLARITY Act during a White House crypto meeting featuring Ripple’s Brad Garlinghouse. The Senate then moved toward a scheduled cloture vote.

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Leveraged shorts were caught wrong-footed, triggering a squeeze that turned the rally into a danger zone once buyers failed to defend the $1.50 to $1.55 area.

Crypto markets remain caught between regulatory optimism and traders carrying increasingly heavy leverage. That tug of war makes the next XRP move particularly important. If buyers can reclaim $1.50, the recent rally could have another act. If $1.40 breaks instead, sellers could start asking how far this correction can really go.

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XRP is trading around the $1.40 range, with the pullback from the recent peak shaving 15% off the local top. The seven-day gain remains positive despite the recent red candles. This means that XRP is still a rally cooling rather than a trend that has completely broken. Volume has also thinned since the squeeze, a familiar sign of mean reversion after an overheated move.

The bull case starts with XRP holding the $1.40 to $1.45 area and reclaiming $1.50 to $1.55. A move through $1.63 could then provide the acceleration needed for another run toward $1.85 and potentially $2.

The base case is less exciting, with XRP consolidating between roughly $1.23 and $1.50 while excess leverage gets flushed from the market.

The bear case becomes more serious if XRP loses $1.23. That would expose the $1.12 support zone, while a deeper breakdown could eventually send the token back toward the $1.00 area.

For now, the key battle remains around $1.40. Hold it, and the bulls still have something to work with. Lose it, and this cooling rally could turn into something much colder.

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XRP holders who bought the wedge breakout are sitting on decent gains, but let’s be honest, a move from $1.42 to $2 is a 41% return on an asset with a market cap already in the tens of billions.

The upside is real, but it’s not the asymmetric setup early-stage buyers look for. This is where capital increasingly rotates toward presale-stage infrastructure plays with room to actually multiply.

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