XRP Price Prediction: XRP Coiling Spring Pattern Targets $4.03 Despite Market Volatility

At the time of writing, XRP is trading near $2.76, down from $2.86, reflecting a 0.8% decline in the last 24 hours. Trading volume, however, surged by more than 31% to reach $8.8 billion, signaling strong repositioning among investors.

According to data from TradingView, the current XRP price has slipped below the $2.80 level after a failed attempt to break $2.92 earlier in the week. Market capitalization has also taken a hit, falling by nearly $18 billion since the token lost its footing above $3.

Despite the short-term weakness, analysts are highlighting a potentially bullish technical formation known as the “coiling spring.” This setup, often identified when a support level is repeatedly tested before an aggressive move upward, suggests the XRP coin price could rally toward $4.03.

XRP is testing support in a compressed coiling pattern, with a potential breakout toward $4.03 once the dip concludes. Source: Kamran Asghar via X

A 2022 study in the Journal of Behavioral Finance found that similar formations often precede gains of 30–50% within weeks. The coiling spring pattern reflects a pressure build-up in price action, where sustained support can lead to sharp and decisive upward movements that often surprise traders.

Broader market sentiment, however, remains cautious. On September 26, President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on non-U.S.-manufactured pharmaceutical products, set to take effect in October. The announcement rattled global markets, adding to the selling pressure on cryptocurrencies.

The XRP crypto price has been more volatile than many of its peers, falling harder than both Bitcoin and Ethereum. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also added to the risk-off mood, warning about “stretched valuations” across asset classes. These comments reinforced investor caution, pushing capital away from digital assets.

Technical indicators suggest that XRP may be oversold in the short term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 24.43, placing the price of XRP firmly in oversold territory. While such levels often hint at a possible rebound, the persistent selling pressure underscores the uncertainty.

XRP was trading at around $2.76, down 0.82% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP price via Brave New Coin

Immediate support is visible between $2.74 and $2.75. A breakdown below this zone could open the door to further declines near $2.72. Conversely, reclaiming $2.76 and breaking above $2.77 would be the first signs of stabilization.

Despite short-term turbulence, the XRP latest news includes a significant milestone: the SEC’s approval of the first U.S. XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF). Historically, such approvals have provided institutional credibility and liquidity to digital assets. However, the positive effect of this approval has been muted by macroeconomic headwinds and market-wide corrections.

XRP may break its downward trendline and rebound from $2.75, though studies caution that technical patterns often overstate bullish outcomes amid market risks. Source: Gordon via X

Looking ahead, the XRP price prediction 2025 remains divided. Optimists see the ETF launch and growing regulatory clarity as catalysts for sustainable growth, potentially pushing the ripple xrp price toward $4.00 and beyond if the coiling spring pattern plays out. Skeptics, however, argue that external shocks such as tariffs and monetary tightening could continue to disrupt bullish setups.

XRP stands at a critical juncture. While technical analysis points to a potential rally toward $4.03, broader market conditions and macroeconomic pressures remain key factors. Whether XRP springs higher or slips further will depend on both its ability to defend crucial support levels and the direction of global risk sentiment in the weeks ahead.