Analyst Says Cycle Is Not Finished Amid 2 Years Of Bitcoin Sideways Movement
Bitcoin (BTC) is now 195 days into its latest sideways movement, which is part of a broader two-year stretch marked by sluggish price action and short-lived rallies. According to a crypto analyst, just 36 days of meaning...
Archive context
Older archive item. Useful for background and entity history, but not a fresh market-moving signal.
Bitcoin (BTC) is now 195 days into its latest sideways movement, which is part of a broader two-year stretch marked by sluggish price action and short-lived rallies. According to a crypto analyst, just 36 days of meaningful gains have defined this cycle, while the rest have been a relentless grind. Still, despite the clear market fatigue and repeated new lows, the analyst insists that the cycle isn’t over yet.
Bitcoin Cycle Sees Only 36 Days Of Real GainsThe current Bitcoin market cycle is being closely examined, as a new analysis by expert analyst Crypto Con delves deep into the cryptocurrency’s past movements, revealing two full years of sideways price action with only brief periods of upward momentum. The analyst’s chart, titled “Cycle 4 Ranges and Expansions,” highlights a pattern of prolonged range-bound activity interrupted by short bursts of expansion.
As of now, Crypto Con notes that Bitcoin has been consolidating for 195 consecutive days since December 18, 2024, without setting a new local high. The chart analysis shows that the total time spent in actual upward expansion in the entire cycle is just 5.76 months. Even more interesting is the fact that when isolating the days in which Bitcoin recorded new local highs, the number shrinks to just 36 days.
According to the market expert, these expansion bursts are responsible for all of Bitcoin’s significant price increases during its current cycle. Every expansion phase has also occurred within extremely narrow windows—typically just two to five days long. The rest of the cycle after this has been characterized by a consistent sluggish grind and long stretches of price consolidation, where momentum fades and the market struggles to advance.
Flattened Price Action Hides Cycles’ Underlying StrengthA closer look at the bottom section of Crypto Con’s chart, which removes the expansion bursts, shows how Bitcoin’s price has essentially remained flat or trended lower throughout the cycle. Major sideways phases in 2023 and 2024 lasted 192 days and 238 days, respectively, offering minimum sustained upside. The current 2025 range has now extended close to 200 days, continuing the trend of market inactivity.
Despite the drawn-out stagnation, Crypto Con maintains that this cycle is not over yet. He implies that Bitcoin’s prolonged accumulation and consolidation could be building pressure for a significant breakout. The chart also shows Bitcoin’s next potential upside target between $165,000 and $180,000. Currently the leading cryptocurrency is trading at $106,990, meaning a jump anywhere between these targets would represent price increase of over 54%.
If previous patterns hold, BTC’s next major move may arrive swiftly, as past expansions have delivered their impact in just a few trading sessions. Until that moment arrives, Bitcoin remains locked in what is shaping up to be the slowest and possibly the most patient-testing cycle to date.
Why this matters
This bitcoin story adds another data point to the current market tape and is useful when read alongside nearby source coverage.
Original source
Read on NewsBTCRelated market context
[[alloc] init] Releases Shielded Bitcoin Proposal For Private Bitcoin Transactions
Bitcoin Magazine [[alloc] init] Releases Shielded Bitcoin Proposal For Private Bitcoin Transactions Shielded Bitcoin is a proposal...
Bitget’s hack just got $36 million bigger, and now there’s a bounty on the stolen crypto
Bitget has raised the estimated value of assets taken in its Sept. 24 breach to $387.5 million as exchanges and security firms mob...
Microsoft Copilot AI Predicts Bitcoin Will Do Something Incredible in Q4 2026
Microsoft Copilot AI predicts a wild move for BTC in Q4 2026, calling it one of the strongest asymmetric risk-reward positions ava...
Bitcoin Could Get Zcash-Style Private Transactions Without a Soft Fork, Misha Komarov Says
Misha Komarov, founder of [alloc] init, a firm working on ways to add features such as privacy to Bitcoin without changing its cod...
Binance Bitcoin Outflows Hit 13,800 BTC in 3-Year Record as FOMO Returns
Key Takeaways: More than 13,800 BTC was out, a record amount of money in a single day for Binance since 2023. Binance’s Bitcoin re...
Bitget Halts Withdrawals After $351.6M Hot Wallet Incident Hits Crypto Exchange
Key Takeaways: Bitget reported unauthorized transactions of about $351.6 million that occurred in a portion of its hot & warm wall...