Bitcoin ‘Apparent Demand’ Makes Sharp Rebound – Will BTC Breakout Soon?

As Bitcoin (BTC) edges closer to the psychologically significant $100,000 milestone, several technical and on-chain indicators suggest that a major breakout could be on the horizon. One such metric – Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand – has shown a strong rebound, signalling renewed interest and sustained accumulation in the market.

According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, contributor IT Tech pointed to a significant rise in BTC’s Apparent Demand. Most notably, this key indicator has returned to positive territory after spending several consecutive weeks in the red.

For the uninitiated, Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand (30-day sum) measures the cumulative net demand for BTC over the past 30 days by tracking wallet accumulation and exchange outflows. A sharp increase in this metric suggests strong, sustained buying pressure, which can indicate bullish sentiment and potential for a price rally.

The following chart illustrates this rebound in BTC’s Apparent Demand, which essentially reflects net changes in one-year inactive supply adjusted by daily block rewards – a metric designed to better represent organic demand growth.

Previously, this metric had fallen deeply into negative territory – dipping below -200,000 (highlighted in red) – suggesting waning demand. However, its recent reversal into positive territory signals that long-dormant capital is flowing back into the market. As noted in the post:

The demand pivot is closely aligned with the recent price rebound above $87K, implying this recovery is underpinned by real on-chain behavior rather than purely speculative flows.

This marks the first positive Apparent Demand reading since February and aligns with rising inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as well as growing accumulation by long-term holders.

Data from SoSoValue shows that US-based spot BTC ETFs have recorded five consecutive days of net positive inflows, totalling more than $2.5 billion. The cumulative net inflow into spot BTC ETFs now stands at an impressive $38.05 billion.

IT Tech noted that past reversals in Apparent Demand have historically preceded either significant rallies or periods of strong price support. If the current trend continues, BTC may have the momentum needed to challenge the $90,000 level in the near term.

However, analysts caution that Bitcoin must hold its current support around $91,500 to maintain upward momentum. This level is particularly important because it is close to the realized price of short-term BTC holders, according to CryptoQuant contributor Crazzyblockk.

Further adding to this outlook, prominent crypto analyst Rekt Capital emphasized that Bitcoin needs to secure a weekly close above $93,500 and reclaim it as support in order to establish a clear path to $100,000. At press time, BTC trades at $94,492, up 2% in the last 24 hours.