Bitcoin Is 80% Into The Bear Market, Analyst Reveals What Will Confirm It 100%

With the Bitcoin price struggling recently, the expectations are that the crypto market is headed into another bear run. This is characterized by Bitcoin losing $100,000 after over four months, and has not been able to reclaim this major level. Meanwhile, sell-offs among whales have continued, putting billions of dollars worth of selling pressure on the cryptocurrency. As such, the probability that Bitcoin is going into a bear market has shot up considerably during this time.

Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has taken to the X (formerly Twitter) platform to share a warning with the broader crypto community. This warning was that the digital asset was more likely in a bear market compared to a bull market, giving an 80% score in favor of a bear market and only 20% in favor of a bull market.

This comes as there seems to be an erosion of the 4-year cycle that has characterized Bitcoin and the crypto market since its inception. The cycle expectations have deviated completely, especially as there has been no significant run for altcoins.

Speaking on this cycle theory, the crypto analyst urges investors to look at the market with more nuance. This includes not following the market with blind optimism, but rather actually looking at the market for what it is and where it could be headed.

The post shows the Bitcoin RSI and how it has looked before Bitcoin went into previous bear markets. Currently, there seems to be some similarity, but the crypto analyst believes that the direction will be determined next week. Titan of Crypto says that if the next week closes by November 24 looks the same, then it means that the bear market is here.

In contrast to Titan’s stance, the Bull Market Peak Indicators tracked by the Coinglass website continue to show that the Bitcoin top is not in. This tracker consists of 30 indicators in total, showing if the Bitcoin top has been cracked in relation to historical performance, and none of them have been triggered.

At the time of writing, the process bar sits just above 46% out of 100%, suggesting that it is not even halfway there to hitting the top. Thus, the indicators point toward a time to hold rather than sell, as the Bitcoin top has not been reached.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has also fallen to an Extreme Fear score of 10, which is the lowest the index has been since March 2025. Interestingly, when the index is in the red is usually when the market sees a possible reversal. However, it remains to be seen how buyers will respond to the market from here.