Bitcoin Risks Deeper Losses If $107,800 Line Fails To Hold – Details

Since reaching a new all-time high of $124,427 on August 14, Bitcoin has entered a prolonged corrective phase, losing 12.18% of its value over the last two weeks. With market prices now moving within the $109,000 range, market analyst Yonsei_dent has identified a pivotal support level to the present bullish market structure.

In a QuickTake post on CryptoQuant, Yonsei_dent shares some technical insight into the Bitcoin market, highlighting several important price levels at the moment. The analyst explains that Bitcoin’s current market price is sitting almost directly on top of the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price, an important metric that tracks the average cost basis of recently acquired coins.

Notably, investors holding coins for 1 week–1 month have an average cost basis of $116,400, while the 1–3 month cohort sits lower at $112,600. Meanwhile, holders in the 3–6 month range show a significantly cheaper cost basis of $93,400. When all these groups of short-term holders are weighted by realized capitalization, the blended average STH cost basis is calculated at around $107,800, i.e., about 1.45%% below present market prices.

This alignment makes the $107,800 level a critical line in the sand, so to speak, for the current bullish structure. If Bitcoin remains above this threshold, short-term holders will remain close to breakeven, reducing the likelihood of widespread panic selling. However, if Bitcoin bulls lose this support zone, many new market entrants will fall into loss territory, increasing the potential for a heightened selling pressure.

In such a bearish scenario, market participants would likely turn their attention toward the $93,400 support area, where the 3–6 month cost basis resides. This level could provide the next significant cushion, given that investors in this cohort are sitting on healthier profits and are likely to display stronger holding conviction.

However, it’s worth stating that the situation is not outright bearish. A decisive recovery above $112,600–$116,400, representing the cost bases of 1–3 months and 1 week–1 month holders, respectively, could restore market confidence and reignite bullish momentum towards a potential return to the present market ATH.

At press time, Bitcoin trades at $109,400 following a 5.65% devaluation in the past month. Meanwhile, the daily trading volume is down by 27.02% and valued at $50.48 billion. With a market cap of $2.15 trillion, Bitcoin remains the largest cryptocurrency and fifth-largest global asset.