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Stanford study says 5-minute Bitcoin prediction markets enable settlement manipulation

Researchers found that Polymarket’s five-minute Bitcoin prediction markets create incentives to manipulate spot prices around contract settlement, proposing longer settlement windows as a potential fix.

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Published in the last two hours. Multiple named entities are involved.

Stanford study says 5-minute Bitcoin prediction markets enable settlement manipulation

Researchers found that Polymarket’s five-minute Bitcoin prediction markets create incentives to manipulate spot prices around contract settlement, proposing longer settlement windows as a potential fix.

Why this matters

Bitcoin is showing up inside the Prediction Markets theme, so this story is worth tracking for follow-through rather than treating it as a one-off headline.

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