TA: Bitcoin Reclaims $50K, Why 100 SMA Is The Key For Larger Increase

Bitcoin is recovering and trading above $50,000 against the US Dollar. ETH must settle above $51,000 and the 100 hourly SMA to continue higher.

• Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the key $50,000 resistance zone.
• The price is now trading near $51,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support near $49,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair could start a decent upward move if there is a close above $51,000.

Bitcoin price started a decent recovery wave after a major decline below $45,000. BTC climbed back above the $46,500 and $48,000 resistance levels to start the recent recovery.

The price is back above the $49,200 resistance level. There as a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the $57,690 swing high to $40,150 low. Besides, the bulls were able to push the price above the key $50,000 resistance zone.

There is also a short-term bullish trend line forming with support near $49,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair is now trading near $51,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $51,000 level and the 100 hourly SMA. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the $57,690 swing high to $40,150 low. A clear break above the $51,000 resistance zone could open the doors for more upsides.

The next key resistance is near the $52,500 level, above which the price could accelerate higher. In the stated case, the price could rise towards the $53,500 level.

If bitcoin fails to clear the $51,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh downside correction. An immediate support on the downside is near the $50,200 level.

The first major support is now forming near the $49,600 level and the trend line. A downside break below the $49,600 support may perhaps start a fresh decline. The next stop for the bears might be $46,000.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $50,200, followed by $49,600.

Major Resistance Levels – $51,000, $52,500 and $53,500.