TA: Bitcoin Starts Recovery, Why $38K Is The Key For Reversal

Bitcoin extended decline below $34,000 against the US Dollar. BTC is recovering, but it must clear $38,000 for a steady upward move.

• Bitcoin remained in a bearish zone below the $38,000 and $36,500 support levels.
• The price is now trading near $36,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $35,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair could start a major increase if there is a clear move above the $38,000 resistance.

Bitcoin price extended decline below the $35,000 and $34,000 support levels. BTC even spiked below the $33,000 level. A low was formed near $32,940 and the price recently started a recovery wave.

There was a break above the $35,000 and $35,500 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $43,490 swing high to $32,940 low. Besides, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $35,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The pair even spiked above the $37,000 level. Bitcoin is now trading near $36,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the $37,000 level.

The first major resistance is near the $38,000 zone. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $43,490 swing high to $32,940 low. An upside break above the $38,000 resistance could start a steady recovery wave towards $40,000. The next key resistance is near the $41,200 level, above which the bulls might aim a test of $42,000.

If bitcoin fails to start a fresh increase above $38,000, it could start another decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $36,000 zone.

The first major support is seen near the $35,400 zone. A downside break below the $35,400 support zone may perhaps spark another drop. The next major support is near $34,000, below which the price could revisit the recent low.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $35,400, followed by $34,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $37,000, $38,000 and $38,200.