Will Bitcoin Hit New Highs in 2025? Analyst Says There’s a 75% Chance

Despite a mild 1.52% dip to $86,583, Bitcoin (BTC) is holding steady—and according to leading market analyst Timothy Peterson, the odds of BTC setting a new all-time high within the next nine months are as high as 75%.

With a combination of historical data, on-chain indicators, and strong technical support, Peterson argues that Bitcoin is well-positioned for a bullish continuation.

Peterson, a well-regarded Bitcoin network economist, highlights BTC’s current price as near the lower end of its historical valuation band.

This, he argues, gives it a high probability of bouncing significantly higher. Based on his models, Peterson projects a 50% short-term upside if BTC maintains stability above key levels.

Amazingly Bitcoin is tracking right along that lower bound. History repeats.

The way to interpret this chart is there is a 75% chance that Bitcoin will go higher from here, since its at the bottom 25% threshold. There is a 50% chance it will gain 50%+ in the short term. https://t.co/NEmpwg9mWa pic.twitter.com/J9P0QP2afL

“Bitcoin has a 75% chance of making new all-time highs within nine months,” Peterson noted on X. “The odds are based on a decade of network price data.”

He also identifies a critical support zone between $84,000 and $85,000, warning that a sustained drop below this level could lead to short-term selling. However, if BTC holds the zone, it could act as a base for the next leg up.

Supporting Peterson’s analysis, pseudonymous analyst Crazzyblockk pointed to whale activity, noting that the realized price for short-term whales is at $91,000. Additionally, many active Bitcoin addresses have a cost basis between $84,000 and $85,000—a liquidity zone that could flip sentiment bullish if defended.

Historical price data further strengthens the argument. According to Peterson, April and October tend to deliver the strongest average gains for Bitcoin, with 12.98% and 21.98% returns respectively over the past decade.

Technically, Bitcoin is consolidating just under resistance at $88,780, holding firm above the 50 EMA at $86,470. Price action is respecting an ascending trendline anchored at $86,460, reinforcing near-term support.

• Immediate Resistance: $88,780
• Next Upside Targets: $90,750 and $92,800
• Support Levels: $86,460 and $84,870
• RSI: 56 – neutral, but with room to build bullish momentum

If BTC can break decisively above $88,780, it would confirm bullish continuation and open the door toward $90,000+. But if it slips below the $84,000–$85,000 range, it could test deeper support.

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