$AVAX Eyes Higher Low Formation After Week-Long Consolidation — Is a 22% Rally on the Table?

Avalanche’s native token, $AVAX, has struggled to maintain momentum despite an 8.6% gain over the past week.

Launched in September 2020 as a scalable alternative to Ethereum for decentralized applications (dApps) and smart contracts, Avalanche has become one of the top 15 cryptocurrencies globally, boasting a market capitalization exceeding $9.2 billion.

As of press time, $AVAX trades at approximately $22.15, still down roughly 51% from its yearly high of $44.09, recorded on January 6.

Network performance metrics indicate a noticeable drop in user activity across the Avalanche ecosystem.

According to Messari, total transactions on the chain have plummeted by over 48% in the last 30 days to just 227,400.

Meanwhile, the number of active daily addresses has dropped 36.85%, averaging only 33,265 unique users.

The only encouraging on-chain metric appears to be developer activity, with more than 250 million smart contract requests processed in the last 30 days, reflecting a 21.38% increase.

Despite weak usage data, Standard Chartered has issued a bullish long-term outlook. In a recent report, the bank forecast that $AVAX could climb to $250 by the end of 2029.

Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research, credited the network’s modular architecture and scaling solutions as key drivers of future growth.

Global banking giant Standard Chartered just published 5yr price targets for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Avalanche:

Bitcoin (BTC): $500,000
Ethereum (ETH): $7,500
Avalanche (AVAX): $250 pic.twitter.com/aKf9Zm8JjS

He also emphasized that Avalanche’s relatively small market cap could amplify the impact of technical upgrades and adoption.

According to Standard Chartered, $AVAX could rise to $55 by the end of 2025, marking over 60% upside from current prices.

The bank further projected milestones of $100 in 2026, $150 in 2027, and $200 in 2028, assuming steady development and broader crypto market participation.

Adding to the momentum, Bitget revealed a strategic collaboration with Avalanche on April 28.

The partnership seeks to accelerate Web3 adoption at the grassroots level across India, including welfare distribution and microgrant programs in partnership with government entities.

We’re teaming up with @avax to fuel India’s next wave of Web3 adoption and innovation!

At #Bitget, we believe knowledge unlocks blockchain’s true potential — and we’re investing in the builders shaping the future.

Learn morehttps://t.co/skH8S9G5uU

This follows the March report that India’s Dantewada district digitized more than 700,000 land records, some dating to the 1950s, using Avalanche’s tamper-proof blockchain protocol.

Avalanche’s visibility was further boosted when Nasdaq filed Form 19b-4 with the U.S. SEC to list and trade Grayscale’s Avalanche Trust as an exchange-traded fund (ETF).

If approved, the ETF would allow regulated access to $AVAX for institutional and retail investors alike.

From a technical perspective, AVAX/$USDT appears to have formed a double bottom near the $15 level, a bullish reversal pattern.

This pattern was followed by higher highs and higher lows, an early sign of a bullish trend reversal.

The setup is complemented by a well-formed ABCD harmonic pattern terminating around $23.38.

A breakout above this resistance could send prices toward $28.87, a projected 22.85% gain that aligns with prior price action.

$AVAX 1W chart

In Q4 2023-Q1 2024 $AVAX did a 7x on rising BTC.D

Imagine what will happen to the price of $AVAX when BTC.D finally crashes

I am expecting #AVAX to repeat the Wave (A) we had in 2023-2024

My Target Zone is $105-145
Mandatory condition – BTC.D has to… pic.twitter.com/XnQtBCxgL4

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hovers around 52, slightly bullish but not overbought, indicating there’s still room for upward movement if momentum builds.

However, failure to break above $23.38 and a retreat below $20 could indicate weakness, potentially dragging $AVAX back toward support near $17.50 or even $15.

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