Despite a volatile crypto environment, Cardano is showing signs of resilience, prompting some to wonder if the ADA price is on the cusp of a breakout toward $0.85.

A Rollercoaster Ride: ADA’s Price Struggles

Cardano’s recent price action has been a rollercoaster. ADA was as low as $0.60 during a wider crypto market sell-off in the first half of February 2025, compared to its prior highs. But it has now clawed some ground back to around $0.71—a key support area that has formed several times historically and proved highly critical.

Cardano (ADA) was trading at around $0.71, down 3.20% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Brave New Coin

Cardano’s Network Activity on the Rise

Despite the price challenges, one key indicator suggests the potential for a reversal. The Network Value-to-Transaction (NVT) ratio, which compares the value of a cryptocurrency to its transaction volume, has seen a significant drop—from 5.32 in late November 2024 to 1.61 as of now. This reduction reflects an uptick in on-chain activity, pointing to growing adoption and use of the Cardano network, which may signal an undervaluation of ADA in relation to its transaction volume.

Cardano’s surge in network activity could propel ADA toward a retest of the $0.85 resistance. Source: TheCryptoBasic via X

Cardano’s commitment to network development continues to pay off, as its ecosystem shows signs of growth. On X, Ali Martinez, an influential crypto voice, indicated ADA might be “at the very beginning of a monster parabolic rally,” much like what happened back in 2021 when the price of ADA surged from under $0.10 to over $3. Martinez speculated that, if history were to repeat itself, ADA could see a price surge as high as $15.

Whale Activity and Market Sentiment

However, not all signs are positive. The recent market pullback saw whales—large holders of ADA—offload a staggering 330 million tokens. This sell-off has caused concern, as it has added to the market supply, which could outweigh demand in the short term and depress the price further. Notably, ADA’s whales have not yet shown signs of re-accumulating their tokens, which leaves the market vulnerable to continued downward pressure.

Whales have dumped over 330 million Cardano (ADA) and have yet to step in to buy the dip. Source: Ali Martinez via X

Despite the challenges, analysts like CryptoRus and Lucky have pointed to strong fundamentals supporting ADA’s long-term potential. Cardano’s ongoing ecosystem development and rising adoption continue to position it as a solid investment ahead of the next market cycle.

ADA Eyes the $0.85 Breakout?

In terms of price targets, technical indicators suggest that ADA’s next critical resistance level sits around $0.85. This price point aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, which has historically marked key turning points for Cardano. A break above this level could indicate the start of a bullish rally, especially if supported by increased buying pressure from both retail and institutional investors.

ADA needs to hold above the $0.70 support and seek a bullish breakout above the $0.85 resistance to revive the bullish momentum. Source: Rowland-Australia on TradingView

However, the threat of further declines looms large if ADA fails to maintain the $0.73 support. A drop below this level could see Cardano testing the $0.60 mark, which would likely trigger a deeper correction phase.

Watch – Cardano Price Analysis A Critical Moment for Cardano

Cardano stands at a crossroads. The recent surge in network activity and growing adoption offer optimism for ADA’s future, but challenges persist, particularly with the lack of whale support and the overhang of recent sell-offs. Traders and investors will need to keep a close eye on key support levels and market sentiment to gauge whether Cardano can break past the $0.85 resistance and embark on a new bullish phase.

As the crypto market continues to fluctuate, Cardano remains one to watch closely, with both bulls and bears vying for control. Whether ADA will reclaim its momentum or face further struggles depends largely on how the coming weeks unfold in this unpredictable market environment.