Hedera’s (HBAR) $0.09 Support Intact, Revenue Decline Threatens Upside Momentum

Hedera (HBAR) has traded around the $0.09 mark, testing a key technical support level, even as broader price momentum remains subdued. Despite occasional short-term bounces and technical patterns suggesting relief rallies, ongoing declines in network revenue and ecosystem metrics are weighing on investor confidence.

According to live market data, HBAR is trading near $0.094, with a market capitalization of $3.9 billion and a 24-hour trading volume that reflects modest activity at current price levels.

Over recent weeks, HBAR’s price action has been largely corrective, with the token moving in a range near its October lows. Analysts tracking the charts note that while the $0.088–$0.09 zone continues to act as support, the broader trend remains bearish as long as HBAR trades below key resistance levels at $0.126-$0.177.

Some market participants have flagged a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern forming on shorter-term timeframes, implying a breakout above roughly $0.094–$0.096 could open the door to moves toward $0.12. However, this scenario requires clear confirmation amid limited buying momentum.

Technical indicators, such as the relative strength index (RSI), are near oversold levels, but momentum oscillators, such as MACD, remain skewed to the downside. Traders note that until HBAR regains and sustains a move above its 20-day, 50-day, and longer-term moving averages, the structural bias will likely remain negative.

Beyond price charts, on-chain ecosystem data suggests cooling activity. Total value locked (TVL) in Hedera’s decentralized finance layer has dropped significantly from mid-2025 highs, and weekly decentralized application revenue has declined sharply over recent weeks.

Institutional interest in HBAR-linked products, such as spot exchange-traded funds, has shown limited recent inflows, in contrast to stronger demand seen in other altcoin ETFs. A lack of fresh capital from larger participants could further temper price advances if broader market uncertainty persists.

Analysts now see a near-term range-bound outlook for HBAR, with downside risk toward support levels around the low $0.08s if selling pressure intensifies. A sustained breakout above immediate resistance would be needed to shift sentiment and technical bias.

Cover image from ChatGPT, HBARUSD chart on Tradingview