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Prediction Markets Put the US-Iran Ceasefire on a Short Clock

Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in a fragile truce, with over $16.5 million wagered on when or whether Washington will officially close the books on its military campaign against Tehran. Key Takeaways: Polym...

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Market signal

Archive context

Older archive item. Useful for background and entity history, but not a fresh market-moving signal.

Prediction Markets Put the US-Iran Ceasefire on a Short Clock
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in a fragile truce, with over $16.5 million wagered on when or whether Washington will officially close the books on its military campaign against Tehran. Key Takeaways: Polymarket’s U.S.-Iran military operations market hit $16.4M in volume, with April 30 carrying 42% odds. Kalshi gives only a 16% chance […]

Why this matters

Kalshi is showing up inside the Prediction Markets theme, so this story is worth tracking for follow-through rather than treating it as a one-off headline.

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