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Wall Street Bleeds $2.85T as Polymarket Degens Bet on Recession, Now a 49% Probability

Speculators on Polymarket are wagering substantial sums on a contract gauging the likelihood of a U.S. economic downturn by 2025. After President Donald Trump’s divisive tariff policy was announced, the probability impli...

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Older archive item. Useful for background and entity history, but not a fresh market-moving signal.

Wall Street Bleeds $2.85T as Polymarket Degens Bet on Recession, Now a 49% Probability
Speculators on Polymarket are wagering substantial sums on a contract gauging the likelihood of a U.S. economic downturn by 2025. After President Donald Trump’s divisive tariff policy was announced, the probability implied by market activity has risen to nearly 50%. Tariffs, Tumbles and Trades On April 2, 2025, President Trump declared the implementation of “Liberation […]

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