Bullish Signal On Binance: BTC/ETH Outflows Counter Surging Stablecoin Inflows

Exciting data from an on-chain analysis has recently surfaced, revealing accumulation patterns in Bitcoin and Ethereum on the Binance exchange that have historically preceded renewed bullish momentum.

In a QuickTake post on November 14, pseudonymous market analyst CryptoOnchain shares insights into the crypto market direction, based on Binance activity. This post revolves around the Binance 7-Day Asset Netflow By Network metric, which shows if more volumes of an asset on specific networks are being deposited into Binance (net inflow), or being withdrawn (net outflow) over the past seven days, revealing the underlying activity across different asset types.

According to CryptoOnchain, a net outflow of $1.77 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum assets has been recorded from the Binance network. Specifically, the analyst reports outflows of $1.1 billion in Bitcoin (BTC_Native) and $670 million in Ethereum (ETH_Native) occurring over the past week.

Typically, a large movement of assets out of exchanges such as of this magnitude reflects a growing ‘HODL’ sentiment among investors, as these coins are usually transferred into private wallets for holding. As an extension, an increasing hoarding appetite among holders signals a reduction in sell-side pressure, as there is less liquidity on standby, betting against price.

Simultaneously, Binance records an almost similar amount,  $1.58 billion, in stablecoin inflows. About $900 million of these came in as USDT, while $680 million was in USDC. Usually, a large inflow of stablecoins indicates an active increment by ‘smart money’ of their buying power. As short-term holders or retailers sell, thereby adding to sell pressure, the long-term holders in this scenario stand ready to absorb sell pressure with their liquidity.

Historically, this divergence in on-chain activity (a significant amount in BTC/ETH outflows vs a large amount in stablecoin inflows) has preceded price recoveries to the upside. As such, it qualifies as one of the strongest indicators to show that the market is in an accumulation phase. 

Despite the predominant market sentiment being one that depicts fear, CryptoOnchain posits that major market participants are currently “buying the dip,” thus putting in what may come to be a strong price bottom in the near future. In the grand scheme, the market still appears to hold a bullish outlook. 

As of this writing, Bitcoin is worth around $96,133, losing more than 1.33% of its value since the last day. Ethereum, on the other hand, holds a valuation of $3,153, reflecting a 24-hour loss of 1.53% per CoinMarketCap data.