Ethereum Eyes 15% Move Amid Key Resistance Retest – Breakout Or Rejection Next?

Ethereum (ETH) is retesting a crucial resistance level amid its daily 3% recovery. The cryptocurrency has been rejected from this area since last month’s market recovery, failing to continue its bullish rally. As its price continues its sideways trajectory, an analyst suggests that a 15% move is coming.

Since its early May breakout, Ethereum has been trading between the $2,475-$2,680 price range, failing to turn the range’s upper boundary as support for nearly a month. Amid last week’s market pullback, the cryptocurrency retraced around 11% from its three-month high of $2,788 to the range’s lower boundary, bouncing from this area on Monday.

At the start of the week, ETH reclaimed the $2,500 mark and continued its recovery rally toward the $2,600 resistance. On Wednesday, the King of Altcoins saw a 3.2% daily surge toward the local range high resistance before retracing to the $2,635 level.

Carl Runefelt from The Moon Show highlighted the cryptocurrency’s recent performance, affirming that Ethereum is “showing confidence” by staying inside a key formation in the daily timeframe.

According to the chart, Ethereum has been forming an ascending triangle since the May rally, with the upper line around the $2,680-$2,700 mark. Moreover, ETH’s price has been compressing between the support and resistance lines, suggesting a potential 15% move if the price breaks out of the pattern.

Runefelt forecasted a surge toward the $3,100 level if the Altcoin reclaims the crucial resistance level. However, if the price is rejected once again from this level, the analyst considers that Ethereum could drop to the $2,300 support zone.

Crypto Bullet pointed out a similar pattern on multiple ETH charts, suggesting that a 15%-20% breakout is imminent for the cryptocurrency. Per the post, the ETH Dominance is “about to break out” from an ascending triangle pattern in the 12H chart, while the ETH/BTC and ETH/USD trading pairs are nearing the upper boundary of a one-month symmetrical pattern.

Analyst Crypto Jelle asserted that once ETH reclaims the major resistance area, between $2,680-$2,850, “everything flies higher.” Notably, a reclaim of this zone would send the cryptocurrency above its multi-year ascending support trendline, which was along amid the Q1 2025 retraces, and set the stage for a surge toward the cycle highs.

Meanwhile, Ted Pillows noted that ETH’s performance this cycle resembles Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action in 2020. According to the analyst, Ethereum has formed four consecutive 2-week candles since the April 7 bottom, which mimics BTC’s movement after the March 2020 crash.

“The similarities between BTC 2020 and ETH 2025 are just mind-blowing,” he stated, suggesting that Ethereum could reach a new all-time high (ATH) in the coming months if it continues to follow BTC’s 2020-2021 trajectory.

Market watcher Merlijn The Trader highlighted the same similarities between the flagship cryptocurrency and Ethereum, adding that the King of Altcoins also “just nailed the Spring & Test phase of Wyckoff.”

According to the trader, ETH’s structure “screams one thing: Jump. Across. The. Creek. The breakout is coming.”

As of this writing, Ethereum trades at $2,632, a 44.2% increase in the monthly timeframe.