Ethereum Topside Bias Vulnerable If It Breaks This Key Support

Ethereum trimmed gains from the $4,800 resistance against the US Dollar. ETH is down 5% and it might decline further if there is a break below $4,350.

• Ethereum failed to clear the $4,800 resistance and started a fresh decline.
• The price is now trading near $4,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near $4,600 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could decline further below $4,500 if there is a close below the 100 hourly SMA.

Ethereum struggled to clear the $4,800 resistance zone and started a fresh decline. ETH broke the key $4,650 support to enter a bearish zone.

Besides, there was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near $4,600 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The pair even traded below the $4,550 support zone. It is now trading near $4,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

A low is formed near $4,455 and is currently consolidating losses. An initial resistance on the upside is near the $4,540 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,783 high to $4,455 low.

The first major resistance is near the $4,580 level. The next major resistance is near the $4,620 level. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,783 high to $4,455 low.

A close above the $4,600 and $4,620 levels could start a fresh increase in the near term. In the stated case, the price might rise towards the $4,750 level. Any more gains could lift the price towards the $4,800 zone in the near term.

If ethereum fails to start a fresh increase above the $4,600 level, it could start a downside correction. An initial support on the downside is near the $4,500 level.

The first key support is now forming near the $4,450 level. A downside break below the $4,450 support zone could push the price further lower. The main breakdown support is $4,350, below which the price could decline heavily.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now well below the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $4,450

Major Resistance Level – $4,620