Ethereum Weekly RSI Drops To Lowest Level Since May 2022 – More Selling Pressure Ahead?

Over the last week, Ethereum (ETH) has dropped 13.8%, currently trading at the critical $2,000 support level. While the digital asset’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has hit its lowest point in three years, analysts warn that further downside may still be ahead.

US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico took effect earlier today, fueling fears of an impending recession. According to the latest data from Kalshi, there is a 39% probability of a recession occurring in 2025.

The broader crypto market has also felt the pressure from these tariffs, with the total market cap declining from $3.7 trillion on December 14 to $2.8 trillion at the time of writing. Major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) and ETH have been significantly impacted, down 7.1% and 8.9% in the past 24 hours, respectively.

Unlike BTC, which saw a remarkable 2024 with multiple new all-time highs (ATH), ETH has struggled since reaching its peak of $4,878 in November 2021. Over the past year, ETH has declined by 41.6%, while BTC has risen by 26%.

The latest crypto market pullback has added to ETH’s challenges, bringing it down to the psychologically significant $2,000 level. Crypto analyst Jesse Olson noted that intense selling pressure has pushed ETH’s weekly RSI to 35.87, its lowest reading since May 2022. 

Olson further explained that the bottom was not reached in May 2022, as ETH subsequently dropped another 60%. If ETH follows a similar trajectory, it could fall another 60% from $2,000, potentially reaching around $800.

Fellow crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader echoed Olson’s concerns, stating that Ethereum is currently “playing the waiting game.” The analyst emphasized that ETH is approaching a crucial “make or break” level on the RSI.

Despite heightened macroeconomic uncertainty due to Trump’s trade tariffs, some analysts remain confident that ETH is nearing its bottom and could soon resume its uptrend. In an X post, one crypto analyst remarked:

Ethereum is currently retesting the 21-Day EMA on the 3-Month chart. ETH has NEVER closed a candle beneath this level. We are either about to witness history or we are very close to bottoming. Be VERY CAREFUL Panic Selling!

There might still be hope for the second-largest cryptocurrency, as recent analysis found that ETH exchange balances have dropped to a 9-year low, strengthening the digital asset’s supply scarcity narrative. At press time, ETH trades at $2,126, down 8.9% in the past 24 hours.