More Ethereum Has Been Burned Than Minted in the Past 24 Hours

When EIP-1559 was introduced to Ethereum last month, it was supposed to slow down the rate at which the supply of ETH grows. But over the last 24 hours, the supply of ETH isn't growing at all. It's shrinking.

More Ethereum has been burned on the network than minted over the last 24 hours, meaning there's less ETH available today than there was yesterday. Ethereum experts believe this is a first for the network. 

EIP-1559 was a proposed coding change to the Ethereum blockchain that allowed block sizes to expand so that more transactions could be sent through on the network. The Ethereum network has struggled with congestion thanks to the popularity of NFTs and decentralized finance apps such as lending protocol Aave and exchange Uniswap, as such tools use up the network's finite resources.

Part of the proposal was to mandate a base fee for each transaction. Instead of fees continuing to go to the miners who validate network transactions, the base fee would get burned (i.e., taken out of circulation by being sent to a wallet that can't be accessed). The idea was to reduce the total supply of ETH, which, unlike Bitcoin, has no eventual cap. As a result, the price of Ethereum would theoretically rise to meet demand.

While EIP-1559 reduces the rate at which ETH supply grows, it does not necessarily lower the supply of ETH. That's because, with each block produced, miners still get to keep the newly mined ETH. As long as the amount of newly mined ETH is higher than the base fees burned, the overall supply of ETH increases. 

That's no longer the case, at least today. 

In a 24-hour period spanning Thursday and Friday, the supply growth turned negative. More ETH was burned than the 12,500 to 13,000 ETH being issued to miners. This can happen as the base fee adjusts upward during periods of higher demand for Ethereum transactions. (Was it DeFi investing? NFT purchasing? Gaming?)

DeFi Pulse co-founder Scott Lewis and Week in Ethereum News founder Evan Van Ness believe this is the first such instance of Ethereum turning deflationary.

ethereum getting close to its first day of deflation pic.twitter.com/4ULIbLt5aD

— 𝚂𝚌𝚘𝚝𝚝 𝙻Ξ𝚠𝚒𝚜 (@scott_lew_is) September 3, 2021

i should be clear that this is "back of the envelope math" and not "i checked on @trueblocks over 24h" to be 100% sure

4.5 blocks per min * 2.1 eth per block = 9.45 ETH issued per minute and we are at 9.6 ETH burned per minute right now

— Evan Van Ness (@evan_van_ness) September 3, 2021

Since the code change went into effect on August 5, over 188,000 ETH has been burned, according to EIP-1559 tracking website Ultrasound Money. Per pricing from Nomics, that's the equivalent of $736 million.

The change has directly fueled a price rise for the currency. Ethereum has climbed from $2,516 on August 4 to $3,926 today—a 56% increase in one month.