Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction: Multi-Year Triangle Hints at Breakout Towards $100+

AVAX is starting to heat up just as the broader market regains momentum. After months of quiet accumulation and steady on-chain growth, the charts are now showing signs of a potential breakout.

AVAX’s DeFi landscape has quietly been building serious momentum. In a recent post shared by Mash, over the past 12 months, the total value locked (TVL) on the AVAX network has more than tripled, now pushing toward the 90M AVAX mark before a slight cooldown.

AVAX’s total value locked tripled over the past year. Source: Mash via X

This wasn’t a one-week hype cycle but a sustained climb that began building around late Q4 2024 and has picked up steam heading into summer 2025. That steady on-chain buildup is now beginning to reflect in price action too, with AVAX starting to push through key resistance levels. The structure still looks positioned for higher moves, and this growing DeFi base may be one of the key drivers fueling that strength.

AVAX improving DeFi metrics are now being met with a textbook technical setup. As highlighted in the weekly chart by TrendFi, AVAX is carving out a clean series of higher lows, forming a long-term ascending trendline that has acted as reliable support since late 2023. The current price action is now pushing back toward the $28 to $29 resistance zone, a key horizontal level that’s repeatedly acted as a rejection point in previous cycles.

AVAX presses into the $28–$29 resistance zone. Source: TrendFi via X

What makes this attempt different is the broader context. Not only is momentum supported by the TVL surge, but the structure also suggests this isn’t a random bounce. The structure formed around the $17 to $18 zone hints at deeper accumulation. If AVAX can close a weekly candle above $29, it would confirm a breakout from this multi-month range and open the door to retests of the $36 to $38 region.

While Avalanche’s DeFi activity continues to climb, its tokenomics are quietly doing their part too. According to Nicolas Lemaitre, over 4.7 million AVAX have now been permanently burned, completely removed from the circulating supply. This isn’t just symbolic; it’s a structural change that introduces a deflationary tilt to AVAX’s long-term narrative.

Over 4.7 million AVAX have been permanently burned, adding a deflationary layer to the token’s long-term value proposition. Source: Nicolas Lemaitre via X

The timing couldn’t be more relevant. With AVAX currently testing a major resistance level and broader network activity on the rise, this consistent burn rate would lead AVAX to higher prices in the future.

Adding to the emerging bullish structure, this latest fractal shared by Jesse Peralta puts forward a compelling AVAX price prediction. The chart outlines a multi-year symmetrical triangle that’s reaching its apex. Historically, similar setups have marked the beginning of explosive leg-ups, and this one projects an upside path from $50 to $150 and potentially even $450 if momentum and macro tailwinds align.

AVAX trades within a multi-year symmetrical triangle, with a breakout path targeting $50 to $150 according to Jesse Peralta’s fractal analysis. Source: Jesse Peralta via X

What stands out here is the compression zone AVAX has been trading in since mid-2023, steadily tightening into higher lows with decreasing volatility. This kind of consolidation often acts like a spring, and paired with rising DeFi TVL and active token burns, it gives the breakout argument more credibility.

AVAX’s setup is becoming harder to ignore. Between the rising DeFi TVL, consistent burn rate, and the tightening multi-year triangle, AVAX looks like it’s coiling for something bigger. It’s not just technicals flashing green; the fundamentals are catching up fast, and the ecosystem is clearly in growth mode.

With weekly closes inching closer to the $29 breakout level, AVAX might just be in the early stages of a trend that plays out for months, not weeks.

If this momentum holds, and especially if the fractal pattern plays out, AVAX has all the ingredients for a multi-leg rally. The $50 mark is a fair mid-term checkpoint, but long-term eyes will be watching that triple-digit target of $100.