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Polymarket Data: Strait of Hormuz Closure Odds Nearly Double After Israel’s Strikes on Iran

As of June 14, the likelihood of Iran blocking or closing the Strait of Hormuz has risen to 47%, nearly doubling from 24% on June 11. Strait of Hormuz Closure Threatens Global Trade The odds of Iran blocking or closing t...

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Older archive item. Useful for background and entity history, but not a fresh market-moving signal.

Polymarket Data: Strait of Hormuz Closure Odds Nearly Double After Israel’s Strikes on Iran
As of June 14, the likelihood of Iran blocking or closing the Strait of Hormuz has risen to 47%, nearly doubling from 24% on June 11. Strait of Hormuz Closure Threatens Global Trade The odds of Iran blocking or closing the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints, briefly rose to […]

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This research story adds another data point to the current market tape and is useful when read alongside nearby source coverage.

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