XRP Price Must Close Above This Level For Bullish Breakout, Analyst Warns

XRP has struggled to gain momentum, with its price caught in a downtrend since the beginning of March. Although XRP has managed to push up in the past five days after reaching a low of $1.93 on March 11, it has yet to fully recoup its losses in the first week of the month. 

The altcoin’s long-term prospects are still on bullish speculation, but its short-term price action has frustrated traders looking for signs of a breakout. Amid this stagnation, crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has outlined specific price levels that could determine whether XRP finally reverses its course.

Egrag Crypto, a long-time bullish advocate for XRP, recently took to social media platform X to outline key price levels that could determine the cryptocurrency’s next significant move. He identified $2.65 as the first critical threshold the coin must reclaim to sustain meaningful bullish momentum. However, the analyst expressed concern over XRP’s repeated tests of lower boundaries, which is in reference to the recent bottom at $1.93.

According to the analyst, the frequent retests of this support level are a double-edged sword. While multiple touches on resistance can eventually trigger a breakout, repeated tests of support weaken its integrity, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. He likened this pattern to knocking on a door that would eventually open or break. He highlighted six instances of XRP retesting this zone since December 2024 on a 12-hour candlestick chart, warning that prolonged weakness could pave the way for further downside.

For the crypto to escape this cycle and shift into bullish territory, Egrag emphasized the importance of a strong close above $3.00, not just a brief move past it. This level has served as the upper resistance trendline for the past two weeks and has been a barrier to any sustained uptrend. Failure to break and hold above $3.00 could cause continued correction in the short term and keep XRP trapped in its current range.

However, the analyst believes XRP’s chances of reaching $3.00, considering the current price action, are slim without securing a close above $2.65.

Image From X: EGRAG CRYPTO

March has been particularly bearish for XRP, with sellers maintaining control as it failed to reclaim lost ground. However, if XRP bulls manage to close above $3 before the end of the month, it will open up the door for the resumption of a price rally. With this in mind, Egrag set an initial target of $4.80, placing XRP at new all-time highs.

Interestingly, this target is modest compared to the analyst’s more ambitious long-term projections. Egrag has previously predicted that XRP could surge to $110 in the long term. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.37 and is still 26.5% away from reaching $3.

Featured image from Crypto Logos, chart from TradingView