Analyst Predicts A 30% Bitcoin Price Crash To $50,000, Here’s When

The question of whether the Bitcoin price has hit a final bottom remains a major topic of discussion, as analysts remain unconvinced that the flagship cryptocurrency has reached a definitive floor. A recent analysis by market expert Maxi Trades suggests Bitcoin could be positioning for another major correction, forecasting a 30% crash that could push the price to fresh lows near $50,000. The bearish outlook has added to the market’s growing uncertainty about Bitcoin’s price direction, especially after the cryptocurrency’s latest rebound above $78,000.

In his BTC price analysis shared on X this week, Maxi Trades drew on historical data and recurring chart patterns to support his bearish outlook for Bitcoin and projected bottom target. The analyst noted that the Bitcoin price has been stuck within a defined range for more than two and a half months now. He pointed out that a decisive breakout, either to the upside or the downside, has historically followed such an extended consolidation. 

According to Maxi Trades, the last three times Bitcoin displayed a similar range-bound movement, it took roughly 64 to 114 days for a breakout to occur. His accompanying chart reflects this historical setup, showing that during the first prolonged consolidation, Bitcoin traded sideways for 64 days before surging by 14%. 

The second instance saw the cryptocurrency remain range-bound for 114 days, followed by a decline of approximately 27%. In a third similar formation, Bitcoin consolidated for 77 days before recording a 33% price crash. Based on this recurring trend, the analyst believes that Bitcoin could be approaching another major volatility event, with downside risk still on the table once its current range-bound movement resolves.

In his post, Maxi Trades noted that despite Bitcoin remaining in a bear market for more than six months since its October 2025 all-time high above $126,000, its price action has yet to show any signs of a true bottom formation. Because of this, he argued that the market has likely not reached its final capitulation phase. 

As a result, the analyst said he is highly confident that BTC’s next breakout may be to the downside, warning of another major price crash before a true market bottom is established. He added that if the current cycle unfolds like previous range-bound periods, the market may still have time left before the anticipated breakout. 

Maxi Traders further noted that if his bearish scenario plays out and Bitcoin breaks below its recent lows, then the cryptocurrency could experience a rapid correction toward $50,000, marking a decline of more than 36% from current levels above $78,000.