Holding Back The Bears: Why Bitcoin Must Break $22,500

Bitcoin continues to struggle to hold the $20,000 level even after a recovery coming out of the weekend. This decrease in price has pushed the market further into the bear market. It still trades at very critical levels which will determine the movement for the next couple of weeks. These two main points are the support that formed at $20,000 and the 200-week moving average.

The price of bitcoin at the time of this writing is ranging towards $20,000 with drawdown. Being so dangerously close to this point is critical in the forecast for the price of bitcoin, and this is despite the fact that bulls have already formed support at $20,000.

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Another critical technical level is the 200-week moving average which the digital asset is currently trading below. Now, this is the first time in history that the price of BTC has ever fallen below the 200-day moving average, registering one of the most bearish trends ever recorded in the market. As such, there is now significant resistance mounting at the 200-week moving average which lies at an average of $22,500.

This makes $22,500 the point to beat if the digital asset has any hopes of reverting to a bull trend. However, resistance is building even below this point. This was seen at $21,500 over the last couple of days as bitcoin had failed to successfully beat this point.

Additionally, the digital asset price falling below the 200-week moving average has triggered more sell-offs in the market. These sell-offs are apparent on centralized exchanges such as Coinbase which have recorded large inflows in the last couple of days.

The market sentiment surrounding bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies has been impressively negative in recent times. It has now spent the majority of the month of June in the extreme fear territory as investors refuse to budge on their decisions to not move more funds into the market.

The same sentiment is resonating through institutional investors who have been pulling out of the digital market en masse. Even the decline in price to levels some would consider a ‘discount’ has not done much to combat this negative sentiment. Institutional investor outflows from bitcoin for the previous week had come out to $453 million.

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Moreover, the interest in shorter-term positions in BTC is gaining more ground. This is evident in the attention that the ProShares Short Bitcoin has received in the last week. More than $18 million had flowed into the ETF in the first week alone.

Bitcoin is currently trending at $20,000 at the time of this writing. If continues on this trend, the next significant support is existent at $16,500 which could be a shock to the market. 

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