On-Chain Data Shows Why Bitcoin’s Next Stop Could Be At $82K

The Bitcoin price has not particularly impressed over the past two weeks, but it appears to have steadied its movement within a clear consolidation range. In its latest attempt to shine, the premier cryptocurrency faced fierce resistance around $74,000 on Friday, March 13. 

Interestingly, the latest on-chain data suggests that the $74,000 resistance might not be the barrier it appears to be. According to a prominent crypto analyst on the social media platform X, the Bitcoin price seems to have a free runway to return to above the $80,000 mark.

Market pundit Ali Martinez took to the X platform to share an on-chain insight into the Bitcoin price movement over the coming weeks, with a return to around $82,000 looking more likely with no obstacles. This on-chain observation is based on the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) metric, which shows the next relevant levels for BTC.

The URPD metric shows how critical a price level is by tracking the volume of cryptocurrency purchased at a specific level. This is because the capacity for a Bitcoin price level to function as a support or resistance zone usually depends on the number of BTC investors who have their cost basis at the given level.

Typically, price levels below the current spot value with substantial buying activity are often considered major support regions. Meanwhile, levels above the current price with significant investor cost bases usually function as major resistance areas.

According to Martinez, the Bitcoin price has entered a low-resistance region, with barely any obstacles in its way until around $82,045. This puts into question the rejection recently faced around the $74,000 mark, which has insignificant investor activity per the UTXO Realized Price Distribution metric.

A move to this next major on-chain resistance would mean an over 17% surge from the current price point, with an upward movement of that magnitude not seen so far this year. However, if the Bitcoin price doesn’t find the bullish momentum necessary to spur a rally toward the $82,000 mark, the next major support cushion sits at around $66,898.

Ultimately, it appears that Bitcoin price might be looking to expand its consolidation range, with $82,000 as the potential upper boundary.

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $70,820, reflecting a mere 0.5% jump in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is up by more than 3% in the past seven days.