TA: Bitcoin Settles Below $50K, What Could Initiate A Fresh Rally

Bitcoin declined heavily and it even spiked towards $40K against the US Dollar. BTC is recovering, but it must clear $50K for a steady increase in the near term.

• Bitcoin is attempting a recovery wave above the $47,000 and $47,500 levels.
• The price is now trading below $50,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $48,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair could start a decent upward move if there is a clear break above $50,000.

Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $52,000 and $50,000 support levels. BTC declined heavily and broke many important supports near the $48,000 level.

It even dived below the $45,000 level and traded close to the $40,000 level. A low was formed near $40,150 and the price is now recovering losses. It climbed above the $45,000 resistance zone. There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $57,688 swing high to $40,150 low.

It is now trading below $50,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $48,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $49,600 level. The first major resistance is near the $60,000 level. The next major resistance is near $50,900. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $57,688 swing high to $40,150 low.

A clear break above the $50,900 resistance zone could open the doors for more upsides. The next key resistance is near the $52,500 level, above which the price could rise steadily. The next stop for the bulls may possibly be near the $53,500 level.

If bitcoin fails to clear the $50,000 resistance zone, it could extend losses. An immediate support on the downside is near the $48,500 level.

The first major support is now forming near the $47,500 level. A downside break below the $47,500 support may perhaps start a sharp decline. The next stop for the bears might be $55,000.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently near the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $48,500, followed by $45,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $50,000, $50,900 and $52,500.