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Iran Ceasefire Odds Climb on Polymarket as Trump Signals Negotiations With Tehran

According to a report from the New York Times (NYT), a 15-point framework aimed at resolving the conflict in the Middle East was presented to Iran, and markets have since settled following the earlier bout of volatility....

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Older archive item. Useful for background and entity history, but not a fresh market-moving signal.

Iran Ceasefire Odds Climb on Polymarket as Trump Signals Negotiations With Tehran
According to a report from the New York Times (NYT), a 15-point framework aimed at resolving the conflict in the Middle East was presented to Iran, and markets have since settled following the earlier bout of volatility. At the same time, participants in prediction markets are placing bets on the likelihood of a ceasefire and […]

Why this matters

Polymarket is showing up inside the Prediction Markets theme, so this story is worth tracking for follow-through rather than treating it as a one-off headline.

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